WNBA Player Props & Bets: Friday (9/26)
Both WNBA Semifinal series are tied at one, as the Indiana Fever and Phoenix Mercury head home to try to take 2-1 leads in their respective series. In Indiana, I'm looking at props for Aliyah Boston and A'ja Wilson, as both players look to build off great Game 2s. Then, in Phoenix, I'm once again expecting Satou Sabally to have a great shooting night after she made five threes in Game 2.
Here are the best WNBA player prop bets for Friday, September 26.
Friday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
A'ja Wilson Under 2.5 Assists (-104)
After her 25-point, nine-rebound Game 2, I doubt many bettors are looking at Wilson's assist total ahead of Game 3. However, there is serious value in taking her Under.
Wilson averaged 3.1 assists per game during the regular season, but she's only averaging 2.4 in the postseason. She has two or fewer assists in three of her five games, and she has recorded just one in each of her games against the Fever this postseason.
However, what makes this prop even more enticing is that Wilson has not recorded more than two assists in a single game against the Fever this year. In five games, she has either dished out just one or two assists, for a total of just seven. If the price for this Under were more expensive, I'd probably stay away. After all, Wilson has had plenty of four and five-assist games this season. However, to get this price for something Wilson has accomplished in every game against her current opponent is too good to pass up.
Aliyah Boston Over 9.5 Rebounds (+114)
Boston's 11-rebound Game 1 may have seemed like a fluke, but she performed even better in Game 2, pulling down 13 boards. She now has at least 11 rebounds in four of her five postseason games, yet the price for this Over is shockingly favorable.
Boston averaged 8.2 rebounds during the regular season, so it seems that there is a feeling amongst oddsmakers that she will revert to her average. However, after Tuesday's game, she now has at least 10 rebounds in four of her five games against the Aces. Her worst rebounding performance against the Aces came when she managed only seven boards. Still, that's a very good floor to have entering this game.
Satou Sabally 3+ Made Three-Pointers (+265)
In Game 2, Sabally finally broke through against the Lynx, knocking down five of her 11 three-point attempts. The performance marked the first time in four games that Sabally made even one three-pointer against the Lynx, but I expect her to build off the performance and put together another solid shooting night in Game 3.
Sabally is now averaging 2.4 made three-pointers per game in the postseason. She's made at least four threes in two of her five games, and she's averaging 7.8 attempts per contest. Despite how poorly Sabally shot against the Lynx in her first three games against them, Minnesota has not been very good at defending the three-point line this season. Opponents made 33.1% of their threes against them in the regular season, and that has continued into the postseason, as teams are making 33.3% of their attempts.
Because of the high volume of threes that Sabally attempts, she's always a threat to hit her Over. While I'd absolutely take her Over 1.5 made three-pointers for -125, there is more value in taking her to make at least shots from beyond the arc, as the price is set at +265 at the time of writing.
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Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.