WNBA Player Props & Bets: Tuesday (7/15)
There are two WNBA games tonight, beginning with the Connecticut Sun hosting the Indiana Fever. Will Kelsey Mitchell finally exploit the weak Sun defense? Can Olivia Nelson-Ododa continue to clean up the glass against the Fever? In the night game, the Los Angeles Sparks host the Washington Mystics. How will Azura Stevens shoot from beyond the arc?
Here are the best WNBA player props and bets for Tuesday, July 15th.
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Tuesday’s Best WNBA Player Props & Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Kelsey Mitchell 20+ Points (+134)
Kelsey Mitchell's standard line is set at just 17.5 tonight, and the over is a great play, even if the price is pretty inflated. Mitchell has yet to score more than 17 in a game against the Sun this season, but she's averaging 19.2 points per game and has scored at least 20 points in back-to-back contests.
The Sun are the worst defensive team in the league. They're allowing 88.1 points per game, and opponents are knocking down 45.4% of their field-goal attempts. In her first game against the Sun, Mitchell shot terribly, making just 26.7% of her field goal attempts. In her second game, she was better, knocking down 44.4% of her attempts.
However, Mitchell struggled from deep in both games, combining to make just one of her 11 attempts from three-point range. She is averaging 2.2 threes per game. The Sun are allowing 8.7 made three-pointers per game, so look for Mitchell to shoot better from there tonight and score at least 20 for the third consecutive game.
Olivia Nelson-Ododa 8+ Rebounds (+245)
Looking at this price, it's clear oddsmakers think Olivia Nelson-Ododa hitting this number is a longshot. But to me, the price isn't justified. Nelson-Ododa has faced the Fever twice this season, and she's grabbed at least eight boards in both games. What's most impressive is that in the second game between the Fever and Sun, Nelson-Ododa played only 17 minutes and still managed to pull down eight rebounds.
Nelson-Ododa is averaging just 6.1 rebounds per game, so hitting this number will require her to go over her season average by a significant margin. However, that's already baked into the price. Nelson-Ododa is coming off a three-rebound game, but on Friday, she grabbed eight boards against the Seattle Storm.
The Fever allow the fewest rebounds per game, but this has been a great matchup for Nelson-Ododa all season. Until she struggles, take advantage of the incredible odds.
Azura Stevens Under 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-108)
On Sunday, Azura Stevens went 5-of-8 from three-point range, as she dropped 21 points against the Sun. She's now made multiple threes in five of her last eight games. Despite how well she has shot lately, she's still only averaging 1.7 made three-pointers per game, and she's about to face one of the toughest three-point defenses in the league.
The Mystics are allowing opponents to make a league-worst 29.8% of their three-point attempts this season. Despite opponents putting up 25.4 three-pointers per game, the Mystics are allowing just 7.6 makes. Stevens has been great of late, but she's been a streaky shooter this season. There was a stretch of four consecutive games in June where she failed to make multiple threes in a game. In a tough matchup, I’m backing her to come back down to earth after a phenomenal game this past weekend.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.