WNBA Player Props & Bets: Wednesday (10/7)
Tonight, Game 2 of each WNBA semifinal series will be played. Below, I explain why Jonquel Jones is in for another solid rebounding performance against the Dream. Then, I highlight why both Gabby Williams and A'ja Wilson should be trusted when the Aces visit the Valkyries. Here are the best WNBA player props for Wednesday, October 7th.
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Wednesday’s Best WNBA Player Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.)
Jonquel Jones 11+ Rebounds (+122)
It doesn't matter that the Dream allowed the second-fewest rebounds per game during the regular season. This has been an excellent matchup for Jonquel Jones, and at this point, there's no reason to fade her, especially with the price where it is for the over.
Three of Jones' last five games have been against the Dream. She's grabbed at least 11 rebounds in each of those games. On Sunday, she recorded 11 rebounds in 32 minutes of Game 1 action.
Jones has now faced the Dream four times this season, and she's yet to record fewer than 10 rebounds in any of them. If you want to play it safe, you could take her to record 10+ rebounds tonight at -132. However, she's grabbed at least 11 rebounds in four of her last five games. She's been so good in this matchup all season that I'll take a chance on her surpassing her season average by two rebounds again.
Gabby Williams 3+ Three-Pointers Made (+127)
Gabby Williams only averaged 1.7 made three-pointers per game during the regular season. However, she's averaging 3.5 makes per game in the postseason, and she's made at least two threes in all four playoff games.
On Sunday, Williams went 4-for-7 from deep. She's now made at least three three-pointers in three of her four games against the Aces, reaching four makes twice.
The Aces' three-point defense is going to continue to be a huge problem all series. The Aces allowed opponents to make 34.9% of their three-pointers during the regular season, giving them the fourth-worst three-point shooting defense in the league. Considering the Valkyries led the league in made three-pointers, I expect continued high volume from beyond the arc. Williams is averaging 7.5 three-point attempts per game, and she's shooting 46.7% from beyond the arc.
A'ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points (-120)
A’ja Wilson shot just 38.1% from the field in Game 1. Yet, she still finished with 24 points. Just how bad was that shooting performance? She's shooting 56.5% from the field in the postseason, up from 52.7% in the regular season.
Wilson shot at least 50% from the field in all three of her regular-season games against the Vakyries. She scored 28 points in two of those contests, reaching at least 19 in every game.
Wilson averaged 26.2 points per game during the regular season. She's scored at least 20 points in 12 of her last 13 games, scoring at least 25 points in nine of those games.
Phil Wood is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Phil, check out his archive and follow him @Phil_Wood_Jr.