WNBA Playoffs Picks & Predictions: Aces vs. Valkyries (Sunday)
The Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries begin their WNBA playoff semifinal matchup Sunday, October 4, with Game 1 tipping off at 4 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock. Golden State opens the series at home, while Las Vegas looks to secure a road win and put pressure on the hosts. Pace, defensive matchups and scoring opportunities will help shape the outlook for both the side and total. Read on for our Aces vs. Valkyries analysis, WNBA playoffs picks and predictions for Sunday's series opener.
Go premium to view top prop bets based on Cover Probability, Expected Value & Star Rating >>
Sunday's Best WNBA Picks & Predictions: Aces vs. Valkyries
Here are our top picks and predictions for Sunday’s WNBA playoffs.
Las Vegas Aces at Golden State Valkyries
Starting off a parlay with a leg that focuses on the first quarter is easily one of the most volatile bets you can make in sports. Having said that, Golden State is coming off turning a 17-point deficit into a fourth-quarter comeback. Coach Natalie Nakase fainted mid sentence due to the intensity and emotions of that contest. She isn't even on the roster as a player.
We expect the additional rest time to serve the Aces very well through the first quarter of Game 1. The Aces are averaging 28 1st quarter points through three postseason contests. Las Vegas is 2-0-1 with one tie in the first quarter of the WNBA playoffs. Golden State scored 14 points in the first quarter on Friday. Unless the Valkyries can score 25 points or more, the Aces should lead this contest going into the second quarter.
Las Vegas Aces 1st Quarter Moneyline (-112)
As we stated in the last breakdown for moneline in the first quarter, the Valkyries are less than 48 hours removed from digging deep to come from behind after being down almost 20 points. The toll of that remarkable comeback may get the better of Golden State as the game gets into the later stages. The first and fourth quarters are going to be extremely tough on the conditioning for the Valkyries.
The scheduling for Golden State is a bit unfair. On the posited end of the spectrum, it lends itself to backing the opponent. Las Vegas swept the season series 3-0 against the Valkyries in 2026, with a point differential of +34. One of the biggest obstacles that Golden State will have to figure out is how to stop a 4X-MVP on an extra day of rest.
Aces Moneyline (-110)
Aces vs. Valkyries Same Game Parlay
- Leg 1: Las Vegas Aces 1st Quarter Moneyline (-112)
- Leg 2: Aces Moneyline (-110)
- Leg 3: A'Ja Wilson 20+ Points (-402)
SGP Odds: +200