Women’s College Basketball Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (3/1)
March is here, but it is not quite time for the Madness-yet. First, we have to get past the end of the regular season, which is today for women's teams. With it being the final day of the regular season, we've got a number of great games on deck to consider for today's NCAA Women's Basketball Best Bets.
Since many of the best teams are scheduled to play today, I'm going to focus on them for today's Best Bets.
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Sunday’s Best Women’s College Basketball Picks & Predictions
(All bets are one unit unless otherwise stated)
No. 1 Connecticut vs. St. John's
The question for UConn games, at least until late in the Tournament and they face South Carolina, Texas, or UCLA, is not whether they'll win but if they'll cover. It's not that St. John's is not a capable team. They’re good, but UConn is on a different level than most of college basketball.
When these teams met back in January, the Huskies scored 72 points in the first three quarters with 22+ in each quarter. They held the Red Storm to 32 (9, 13, and 10) before coasting in the fourth quarter (16-11; final score 88-43).
The Huskies haven't been covering the massive spreads as much lately, but this one is dialed back a little (to 33.5 points), which makes it questionable. Whether they cover or if the final score is OVER or UNDER the TOTAL, I feel better about the OVER. We know UConn will be good for 80-90 points, and I think St. John's could put forth enough effort to score 50.
Pick: Over 128.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
No. 2 UCLA vs. USC
When these two teams met back in January, USC was the No. 17 team in the country. After playing UCLA to a 16-16 tie after the first, the game had upset potential. However, then the Bruins shut down the Trojans for the rest of the game, outscoring them 27-12, 22-12, and 15-6 in the final three quarters.
USC went on to lose five of its next six games. With losses in its last two games, they take a 17-11, 9-8 Big Ten record into this game against a UCLA team that is 27-1, 17-0.
How on Earth is the spread just 15.5 points for this game?
There is no reason to think the Trojans can make a game of this one just because they are playing at home. If UCLA were to rest players, the Trojans might have a fighting chance, but even then, I doubt it.
Pick: UCLA -15.5 (-114 at FanDuel)
No. 11 TCU vs. No. 18 Baylor
Baylor has dominated this series over the years (47-9), but TCU has been on top in recent games (4-0), including a couple of weeks ago (83-67, TCU). Since then, TCU went on to win its next four while Baylor went 3-1 with a loss to No. 20 Texas Tech, 87-56.
Early betting has caused the line to go down a point from -9.5. Playing at home should give the Bears a boost, but TCU is playing too well on both sides of the court for an emotional boost like home court advantage to matter.
Pick: TCU -8.5 (-114 at FanDuel)