XFL Week 4 Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions (2023)
Week 3 of the 2023 XFL season is in the books. Last week’s games were all tight competitive matchups. Unlike the previous week, all four games in Week 3 were decided by nine points or fewer, including two by four or fewer points.
Week 4 has a couple of appealing matchups. However, it also features two 3-0 vs. 0-3 record matchups that likely won’t be close. Yet, there is always money to make, so let’s look at some potential XFL bets you should make this week.
Best XFL Bets for Week 4
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Houston Roughnecks vs. Orlando Guardians: Roughnecks -9 (-110)
The Roughnecks have been the best team in the XFL this season, posting a 3-0 record. Furthermore, they are the only team in the league to have double-digit offensive touchdowns this season. Not only is Houston undefeated, but they’ve done it convincingly. They have won all three contests by at least nine points, including a 21-point victory in Week 1. More importantly, the Roughnecks are the only team in the XFL to score 20 or more points in every game this season. Meanwhile, they have held their opponents to only 13 points per game, surrendering 14 or fewer in every contest.
While the Roughnecks have the second-best odds to win this year’s championship at +250, the Guardians have the longest odds at +2500. However, that’s not surprising, given their struggles over the first three weeks this season. Orlando is 0-3 this year and has struggled on offense. They have only five offensive touchdowns this year, the second-fewest in the XFL. The Guardians are the only team in the XFL not to score 20 or more points in a game this season. Furthermore, they have averaged only 11 points per game, scoring 12 or fewer in every contest.
This game is a David vs. Goliath matchup. However, don’t expect the underdog to win. Houston has consistently scored 20 or more points per game, while Orlando has scored 33 total points this season. If this matchup isn’t a 20-point blowout, I will be surprised.
San Antonio Brahmas vs. Seattle Sea Dragons: Over 40.5 (-110)
The first matchup on Saturday is a battle between an elite team and an awful one. However, the second game should be a closer contest. San Antonio has a 1-2 record following their 22-13 loss against the Roughnecks last week. Yet, they’ve played well this season. The Brahmas have averaged 19.3 points per game this year, including 30 in their Week 2 victory over the Guardians. Meanwhile, San Antonio has held their opponents to 17.3 points per game this season.
Meanwhile, the Sea Dragons finally got their first win of the year last week. They defeated the Vegas Vipers 30-26, giving them a 1-2 record for the season. While they have a losing record, Seattle hasn’t struggled to score points. The Sea Dragons have averaged 22 points per game this season, scoring at least 18 in every matchup. Meanwhile, their problems have come on defense. Opposing teams have averaged 22.7 points per game against Seattle this year, scoring 20 or more in every matchup.
These two teams have had fairly high-scoring matchups every week this year. The total points scored in the three San Antonio games this season have averaged 36.6 points per contest. Meanwhile, the total has been an average of 44.7 points in the three Seattle games this season. Combined, these two teams have averaged an over/under total of 40.7 points this year. In a matchup between two 1-2 teams, it’s hard to predict a winner. Instead, bettors should take the over.
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Mike Fanelli is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @Mike_NFL2.