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2022 US Open: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Betting Odds, Preview & Prediction

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Men’s tennis has been heavily dominated by the “Big Three” of Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal, and Roger Federer for the last two decades. However, the U.S. Open has been the most volatile of the four Grand Slam events in crowning other champions. Djokovic and Nadal won four titles in five years, from 2015-19. However, Dominic Thiem and Daniil Medvedev have won the last two U.S. Opens, with wins by Andy Murray, Marin Cilic, and Stan Wawrinka mixed in over the last decade.

This year’s U.S. Open is even more open on the men’s side after the not-so-shocking announcement that Novak Djokovic would be ineligible to play because of his vaccination status. Thus, Nadal must be the torch bearer as the lone “Big Three” participant. So is it his to win, or will yet another new player throw their name into the mix of Grand Slam champions?

This is the first annual BettingPros Guide to the U.S. Open, where we will highlight several of the top contenders from both the Men’s and Women’s Draws.

Read on for our thoughts and predictions for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia at the U.S. Open in 2022.

U.S. Open 2022 Betting Odds, Preview & Predictions

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Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Stats to Know

  • Odds to Win: +550 (DraftKings)
  • World Ranking: 4
  • Best U.S. Open Finish: QF (2021)
  • Last 4 U.S. Open Finishes: QF, A, N/A, N/A
  • Last 4 tournament finishes: QF (Cincinnati), R32 (Montreal), F (Umag), F (Hamburg)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia U.S. Open History

Alcaraz is the most inexperienced player in the top five of the futures odds list, playing in just his second U.S. Open. Alcaraz did well to reach the quarterfinals last year, which included a straight-set win over Cameron Norrie, a four-set victory over Arthur Rinderknech, and two five-set victories against Stefanos Tsitsipas and Peter Gojowczyk. Unfortunately, we will never know how far Alcaraz could have gone, as he was forced to withdraw from his quarterfinal match in the second set against Felix Auger-Aliassime with a thigh injury. 

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Recent Form

Alcaraz has shot up the rankings leaderboard in a short time. When he first appeared in Cincinnati last year, he was not even ranked in the top 50. Now, he is one of the short favorites to win the U.S. Open. Alcaraz has a 14-4 record on hard courts this season, with his best result being a win in Miami in April.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia U.S. Open Predictions

Alcaraz’s odds dropped from +500 to +550 after Djokovic was announced as ineligible for the tournament, which speaks to the abundance of landmines in his quarter. Alcaraz has a potentially tricky matchup as early as the third round against Borna Coric, who just won the Cincinnati Masters. Further down the road, he could face 2014 U.S. Open winner Marin Cilic and then Hubert Hurkacz or Jannik Sinner, the latter of which has won five ATP hard-court tournaments in his young career. Thus, Alcaraz is more likely to lose as early as the third or fourth round than he is to win his quarter.

The Pick: Fourth-Round Exit for Alcaraz

U.S. Open 2022 Betting Odds, Preview & Predictions

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Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.