2024 F1 British Grand Prix Odds, Picks, & Predictions
We have reached the summer season of Formula 1, which, to anyone familiar with the sport, signals two very important things: All of the open driver seats (looking at you, Carlos Sainz) get filled pretty quickly and it’s time for the British Grand Prix, held at Silverstone.
This is a home event for many drivers on the grid, with Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton and George Russell all British and looking to claim a victory at their home race. The British Grand Prix is one of the most important events on the schedule, one all drivers aspire to win because of its significance in F1 lore.
Max Verstappen won this event last season while Sainz won in 2022, so there has not been a British driver to win here since Hamilton won this three straight from 2019-2021. However, Verstappen is coming off a fifth-place finish in what was a wild race at the Red Bull Ring last time out, so can he get back on track?
Let’s dive into some odds and picks for the British Grand Prix and see if Verstappen can regain his winning ways.
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2024 British Grand Prix Odds
(odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
- Max Verstappen: –150
- Lando Norris: +200
- Oscar Piastri: +1600
- George Russell: +1600
- Lewis Hamilton: +2000
- Charles Leclerc: +2500
- Carlos Sainz: +2800
- Sergio Perez: +6500
2024 British Grand Prix Best Bets
Max Verstappen: -150 to Win, +125 Fastest Lap
In my opinion, there are only three realistic options for a winner of the British Grand Prix. Max Verstappen, despite wobbling a bit this year and losing multiple races after only losing one total race all season in 2023, is still the class of this grid.
After him comes Lando Norris, and while Oscar Piastri has been solid and both McLarens should fare well on this track, Norris has been driving at a much higher level recently and is considered Verstappen’s true challenger. Then we have the Mercedes team of Lewis Hamilton and George Russell. Both have driven well recently, with Russell being gift-wrapped a victory after Verstappen and Norris’ crash at the Austrian Grand Prix.
At the end of the day, Verstappen, at his core, is too powerful. Anytime he has been located at -160 or better this season, I’ve taken him to win, and it normally pays off. Despite the car being a little off lately for the three-time defending world champion, his prodigious driving skills continue to set him apart from the rest of the grid.
Barring any unforeseen issues, Verstappen should win this race.
Bet: Verstappen to Win and Have Fastest Lap (+135)
Winning Margin: -110 Over 12 Seconds, +175 Under 6 Seconds, +330 Between 6 & 12 Seconds
Despite Verstappen taking home the big trophy at the end of three of the last five races, he’s not dominating like we’re used to seeing over the past couple of seasons. His margin of victory in those three races was under four seconds in each win. That gives us leeway in picking a plus-money winning margin bet.
Want to know when the last time that the winner of the British Grand Prix dominated and won by more than six seconds? It was in 2019 when Hamilton won this race.
I’m not saying we aren’t likely to see Verstappen come roaring back after how the Austrian Grand Prix ended. However, the other teams have managed to keep a much closer distance in recent races, and Verstappen may not be able to pull away.
Bet: Winning Margin Under 6 Seconds (+175)
Lewis Hamilton: +165 Top-3 Finish, +2000 to Win
After the start of his final season with the team he has spent his entire career with, it certainly seemed like Hamilton was going out with a whimper. After all, in his first eight races of the season, Hamilton didn’t record a single top-five finish and looked lackluster.
We now see that Mercedes’ upgrades have helped both him and Russell immensely. As a result, we not only saw Russell with his first win since 2022 but Hamilton also earned three straight top-four finishes.
Hamilton has an exemplary record at Silverstone, with back-to-back podium finishes in the last two races here after winning three straight times. Despite his lackluster results over the past season, it’s clear he is really strong at home.
Hamilton is still considered a longshot in this British Grand Prix, but would anyone be surprised if he managed to put together a strong qualifying and seriously contend in his home race this weekend?
Bet: Hamilton Podium Finish (+165)
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