2024 French Open Picks: Iga Swiatek, Aryna Sabalenka, Ons Jabeur
The 2024 French Open begins this weekend, and it should be another exciting tennis major. The top names will be on display across the 2024 French Open, and we’ll see who is able to take the title on clay for this year. Read on for our top three picks for the 2024 Women’s French Open winner.
2024 French Open Odds & Picks: Women’s Best Bets
After World No. 2 Aryna Sabalenka won her second consecutive Australian Open title earlier this year, the second of the four Grand Slams takes place starting this weekend with the French Open at Roland Garros.
The obvious favorite in the Women’s Draw is Iga Swiatek, who has won three of the last four French Open titles. However, if there is reason for optimism for the other players in the draw, the other woman who won in that span was Barbora Krejcikova, which is still her only Grand Slam title back in 2021.
There has been outstanding parity on the women’s side, with the four Grand Slam titles being won by four different women in six of the last seven years. And prior to Swiatek’s back-to-back wins in 2022-23, the French Open had been won by a first-time Grand Slam champion for six consecutive years dating back to 2016.
Here are the current 2024 French Open Winner odds along with our top three picks to win the 2024 French Open.
2024 Women’s French Open Winner Odds
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
| PLAYER | ODDS |
| Iga Swiatek | -165 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +550 |
| Coco Gauff | +850 |
| Elena Rybakina | +1000 |
| Danielle Collins | +2000 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | +3500 |
| Qinwen Zheng | +3500 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +3500 |
| Ons Jabeur | +4000 |
Top 2024 French Open Winners Picks: Women
Iga Swiatek (-165)
Many bettors will scoff at Swiatek’s steep -165 pre-tournament odds and will bypass her in favor of other players who would return better payouts. But cashes are cashes, and she has proven profitable for bettors with similar -115 and -105 pre-tournament odds in 2022 and 2023.
Swiatek is coming off her third Italian Open title where she did not drop a set, and dominated the World’s second and third-ranked players, Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff, in the semifinals and finals, losing more than three games in just one of those four sets. Swiatek needs two more Rome titles in her career (she is 20-2 in her career in that tournament) to tie the Women’s record of five titles at the event.
Swiatek became the first woman to complete the “dirt double” since Serena Williams in 2013, winning in Madrid and Rome back-to-back. Her outstanding foot speed puts pressure on opponents and forces plenty of errors, and she has won nine consecutive finals since losing to Sabalenka last year. Perhaps the only negative against Swiatek heading into the tournament is her difficult draw, where she could face fellow four-time Grand Slam champion Naomi Osaka in the second round. Further down the road, she could draw 2021 champions Barbora Krejcikova and in the Round of 16, and a quarterfinal match against either 2019 runner-up Marketa Vondrousova, or Danielle Collins (No. 11 seed).
Despite the tricky draw, this is Swiatek’s tournament to lose, and bettors could get slightly more creative in backing her to either win her matches in straight sets, or to back her on the games spread in individual matches.
Aryna Sabalenka (+550)
Sabalenka is well behind Swiatek on the odds leaderboards given the World No. 1's dominance of this tournament recently, in addition to Swiatek beating Sabalenka in the finals of two clay-court events this season. However, given how those matches have played out, perhaps Swiatek's overwhelming -165 odds at DraftKings to win the French Open title are not justified.
Sabalenka had three match points in the Madrid final against Swiatek before losing a third-set tiebreak. And in Rome, she had seven break-point chances in Swiatek's first two service games of the second set, and played much bigger with 18 winners to Swiatek's 11. However, Sabalenka was undone by 28 unforced errors to Swiatek's eight, and is something she will have to clean up over the next two weeks.
Sabalenka dismissed any lingering back issues as to the reasons why she could not get over the hump against Swiatek, and though she has a 3-8 career record against her, Swiatek arguably has the more difficult path to the finals, and Sabalenka would be a prohibitive favorite over any player in the final not named Swiatek.
Ons Jabeur (+4000)
Of the women further down on the odds leaderboard with odds of +3500 or higher, the one that catches our eye the most is Ons Jabeur. Jabeur is just 6-9 this season as she has battled injuries, but fought valiantly in Madrid, losing in the semifinals to Madison Keys in three sets, after dominating her 6-0 in the first set. Jabeur has shown she can clearly be comfortable on the clay, as per OptaAce, she at one point had the highest winning percentage of any player at the Madrid Open since its inception in 2009 (min. 2 main draw appearances).
Jabeur is in Coco Gauff’s quarter, and a meeting with her in the quarterfinals would be likely if Jabeur were to make it that far, considering Gauff is 15-4 at Roland Garros and has at least made the quarters each of the previous three years. Jabeur has beaten Gauff twice in six head-to-head meetings, so she would clearly trust in her ability to edge her in this matchup, even though she lost to Gauff at the 2021 French Open.
With a longshot play, we would ideally like to back someone who would avoid facing Swiatek until the finals, but a potential semifinal matchup with the World No. 1 are already baked into Jabeur’s long +4000 odds.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.