2024 Wimbledon Odds, Picks & Predictions: Men’s Best Bets
At last year’s Wimbledon, Carlos Alcaraz won his second title at the All England Club. In the process, he denied Novak Djokovic two things: a shot at the calendar Grand Slam (Djokovic won three of last year’s four majors) and an eighth Wimbledon title which would tie him with Roger Federer for the most Men’s Wimbledon titles all-time.
The storylines surrounding both players are vastly different this year, as Alcaraz is coming off his first French Open titles, which also made him the youngest male to with a major on all three playing surfaces, while Djokovic’s participation in the event was in question after being just weeks removed from meniscus surgery on his right knee. As such, neither Alcaraz nor Djokovic is the pre-tournament favorite on the Men’s side, as Jannik Sinner has the shortest odds in search of his second Grand Slam and first Wimbledon title.
Read on for our top three picks for the 2024 Men’s Wimbledon winner.
2024 Wimbledon Odds & Picks: Men’s Best Bets
2024 Men’s Wimbledon Winner Odds
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
| PLAYER | ODDS |
| Jannik Sinner | +160 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | +225 |
| Novak Djokovic | +400 |
| Alexander Zverev | +1800 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | +2000 |
| Jack Draper | +2200 |
| Alex De Minaur | +2800 |
| Daniil Medvedev | +3000 |
| Matteo Berrettini | +3500 |
Top 2024 Wimbledon Winners Picks: Men
Carlos Alcaraz (+225)
Wimbledon, much like the French Open with Rafael Nadal's dominance, tends to be an event that can be won by the same players year after year. And with a clear top three on the odds leaderboard on the Men's side, Carlos Alcaraz is our pick to be a repeat champion.
Alcaraz has already done something that greats like Pete Sampras, John McEnroe, and Ivan Lendl have never done, and that is win a major on all three surfaces. Furthermore, he is only one of seven men ever to win their first three Grand Slam finals. While just two of Alcaraz's 14 tour-level titles have come on grass, there is too much concern surrounding Djokovic's recent knee surgery to believe he will hold up for seven matches. The winner of an Alcaraz-Jannik Sinner semifinal would likely be a huge favorite in the final, but we are making Alcaraz a confident play to win Wimbledon, largely because of the various landmines Sinner will face in his quarter (Daniil Medvedev, Matteo Berrettini, Grigor Dimitrov, to name a few).
Hubert Hurkacz (+2000)
Grass is a surface that can be dominated by big servers who do not want to get caught in long baseline rallies, and few in the Men's Draw have a serve bigger than Hurkacz.
We have identified Djokovic as the target of the top three men to fade, and while Djokovic owns a 7-0 head-to-head edge against the Pole, Hurkacz has made Djokovic work. The two met in the Round of 16 at last year's Wimbledon, and two of Djokovic's three set wins were 8-6 in tiebreaks. Djokovic only broke Hurkacz's serve once in that match, and the Pole served 33 aces in four sets and won 81% of his first serve points, numbers that are unheard of against a returner as good as Djokovic.
We are making Hurkacz a confident play to at least reach the semifinals, as we were encouraged by his run to the final of Halle last week. In that final, he pushed world No. 1 Jannik Sinner to a tiebreak in each of the two sets, but we expect more of those tiebreakers (which he should be in frequently) to go his way this week, while not allowing many easy points in his service games.
Jack Draper (+2200)
Do you remember how electric Wimbledon was when countryman Andy Murray took home the titles in 2013 and 2016? That will be the type of atmosphere that Jack Draper will play in this week, and while it is not easy for a Brit to win Wimbledon (Murray’s 2013 victory was the first by a Brit since Fred Perry in 1936), Draper is worth a long-shot play given the form he is in.
Draper can build off the confidence of the biggest win of his career in his last tournament, ousting Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets at the Queen’s Club. He also won the grass court title at Stuttgart, showing great mental fortitude with three of his five wins coming in the deciding set. Draper is in what is considered the most wide open of the four quarters, as it is the only one without one of the top three players in Sinner, Alcaraz, or Djokovic. And considering DraftKings gives the field +150 odds to win outside of Alcaraz, Sinner and Holger Rune, Draper is a viable option with the sixth-best odds, even though he is the No. 28 seed in the tournament.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.