2024 Wimbledon Odds, Picks & Predictions: Women’s Best Bets
So far this year, the two Women’s Grand Slams have gone exactly the way 2023 started, with Aryna Sabalenka winning the Australian Open and Iga Swiatek winning the French Open. If that trend continues with the third Grand Slam at Wimbledon, we would be in for somewhat of a surprise after who won last year’s event at the All England Club.
Marketa Vondrousova, this year’s No. 6 seed, became the first ever unseeded player to win the ladies’ singles titles at Wimbledon after defeating Ons Jabeur 6-4, 6-4 in the final. Per sportsoddshistory.com, Vondrousova had +10000 odds pre-tournament, and still had +2800 odds prior to both Round 4 and the quarterfinals. Women’s tennis has not seen a player with consecutive Grand Slams since Naomi Osaka won the 2020 US Open and the 2021 Australian Open, and it has not happened in the same calendar year since Serena Williams won the first three majors of 2015. Will the parity continue, and are we in for a second straight year of a surprise winner?
Read on for our top three picks for the 2024 Women’s Wimbledon winner.
2024 Wimbledon Odds & Picks: Women’s Best Bets
2024 Women’s Wimbledon Winner Odds
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
| PLAYER | ODDS |
| Aryna Sabalenka | +320 |
| Iga Swiatek | +450 |
| Elena Rybakina | +600 |
| Coco Gauff | +700 |
| Ons Jabeur | +1200 |
| Naomi Osaka | +1600 |
| Madison Keys | +2000 |
| Jessica Pegula | +2000 |
| Mirra Andreeva | +2500 |
Top 2024 Wimbledon Winners Picks: Women
Elena Rybakina (+600)
Elena Rybakina backed up her 2022 Wimbledon title with another run to the quarterfinals last year, where she lost to eventual runner-up Ons Jabeur in three tough sets. Rybakina’s game is best suited for the grass and her powerful first serve, which she has backed up with the most aces on tour this year. She is 28-10 in her career on grass, and while being placed in the same half of the draw as World No. 1 Iga Swiatek in most tournaments would be a negative, Swiatek has yet to advance past the quarterfinals in four Wimbledon appearances, and her 69% winning percentage is her worst of any of the four majors.
Rybakina’s quarter has the second-best odds at DraftKings (+250) to win the title, and while that may speak to the depth of players in that section with Jessica Pegula and Ons Jabeur as the next two-highest seeds, few have the power to keep up with Rybakina, especially on grass.
Coco Gauff (+700)
Coco Gauff is looking for the ultimate redemption, seeking a Wimbledon title after losing in the first round last year to Sofia Kenin. She has never reached the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, but anyone who can reach the fourth round as a mere 15-year old is someone that is clearly comfortable on grass.
Gauff has a favorable quarter, with her stiffest competition likely to come from a trio of American women (Emma Navarro, Peyton Stearns, and Madison Keys). She is a proven force in Grand Slams, reaching the semifinals of both the Australian Open and French Open this year, and is the only man or woman to reach the semifinals of the previous three majors dating back to last year, as she won the US Open for her first Grand Slam title. We have more confidence in backing Gauff based on the odds for a prop offered at DraftKings, where the "Big Three" of Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek, and Elena Rybakina have -120 odds to win the title, while "the field" has -110 odds. In addition, DraftKings is offering +300 odds for an American woman to win Wimbledon, and Gauff is the strongest one in the field.
Ons Jabeur (+1200)
On one hand it may seem silly to make two of our futures picks being women in the same quarter of the draw, but we can also look at this as a hedge of sorts, especially when we have little issue fading the tournament’s top two favorites, Sabalenka and Swiatek.
If Jabeur can get over the mental hurdle of losing back-to-back Wimbledon finals, she possesses the craftiness and variety of shots that not only frustrate opponents, but gives her the edge on grass. Jabeur overcame the “quarter of death” to reach the final last year, and avenged her previous two Wimbledon losses in back-to-back matches in the quarterfinals and semifinals. She beat defending champion Elena Rybakina in the semifinals after losing to her in three sets in the 2022 final and ousted Aryna Sabalenka in three sets in the semifinals after losing to her in straight sets in the quarterfinals in 2021. Add to that her dominating 6-0, 6-3 victory over two-time Wimbledon champion, Petra Kvitova, to go with her two victories over top-three players, and Jabeur has proven she can beat anyone on grass.
Mike Spector is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Mike, check out his archive and follow him @MikeSpector01.