2025 Charles Schwab Challenge: Picks & Golf Predictions

Fresh off another dominant win at the PGA Championship, Scottie Scheffler enters the Charles Schwab Challenge as a heavy favorite (+250). Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer break down Scheffler’s red-hot form, his track record at Colonial Country Club, and whether anyone-like Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger, or JT Poston-can keep up. Get sharp analysis on the best outright plays, top 20 picks, and value long shots like Emiliano Grillo, Nico Echavarria, and Sami Valimaki. Plus, one-and-done picks and betting insights tailored to this week's firm, fast Texas setup.

Our discussion includes updated odds, expert parlays, strategic one-and-done picks, a comprehensive look at the field and a deep dive into the course’s unique characteristics. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to golf betting, our insights will help you make informed decisions. Don’t forget to subscribe for weekly episodes covering the highs and lows of PGA betting.

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2025 Charles Schwab Best Bets & Predictions

PGA Championship Recap

• Winner: Scottie Scheffler (-11)

  • Pulled away late Sunday after a tight front nine with Jon Rahm.

  • Closed Saturday five-under over his final five holes, securing a three-shot lead.

  • Used a replacement driver after his was deemed non-conforming.

  • Secured his third career major (2 Masters, 1 PGA) before turning 29.

• Runner-ups: Bryson DeChambeau, Harris English, Davis Riley (T-2 at -6)

• Notables:

  • Rory McIlroy: Disappointing T-47

  • Xander Schauffele: T-28

  • Ludvig Åberg, JT, Brooks Koepka, Hideki Matsuyama: Missed cut

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?"? Charles Schwab Challenge Overview

?"? Course: Colonial Country Club (Fort Worth, TX)

• Par 70, 7,289 yards

• Key traits:

  • Narrow, treelined fairways (3rd narrowest on Tour)

  • Emphasis on accuracy off the tee and short iron precision

  • Firm, fast bentgrass greens

  • Wind expected (10-20 mph)

  • Historically favors experienced players - only 1 first-timer winner in last 30 years

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🏌️‍♂️ Player & Betting Insights

🥇 Scottie Scheffler

• +250 favorite

• Top 3 here in each of the past three years

• Lost in playoff to Sam Burns (2022)

• Dominant form (last two wins by 13 shots combined)

• Best strategy? ➤ Live bet if odds drift due to slow start

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?"? Top Picks & Value Targets

✅ Top Bets

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?" Fades / Concerns

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?"? Longshot Targets

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?"? Betting Cards

?"? Bo's Card:

• Outrights:

  • Maverick McNeely (+3000)

  • Michael Kim (+5500, ladder bet)

  • Jacob Bridgeman (+9000)

  • Mac Meissner (+12000)

  • Blades Brown (+15000)

  • Carl Phillips (+25000, ladder)

?"? Pat's Card:

• Outrights:

  • Scottie Scheffler (+250)

  • Emiliano Grillo (+9000)

  • Nico Echavarria (+12000)

  • Sammy Valimaki (+15000)

• Top 5/20s:

  • Brian Harman (Top 5 +850 or Top 20 TBD)

  • Grillo (Top 20 +280)

  • Corey Conners (from previous week)

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🎯 One & Done Picks

• Bo: Michael Kim

• Pat: Maverick McNeely

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🏁 Final Takeaway

Colonial is a shot-maker’s test that could reward precise iron players, grinders, and strong putters. While Scottie Scheffler remains the man to beat, there is significant betting value among under-the-radar Texans and recent form guys like Michael Kim and Maverick McNeely.

2025 Charles Schwab Timestamps:

• Introduction – 0:00:00
• Recap PGA Championship – 00:00:30
• Charles Schwab – 00:07:23
• Favorite – 00:13:29
• Scottie Scheffler – 00:14:19
• Daniel Berger – 00:17:29
• Maverick McNealy – 00:17:49
• Jordan Spieth – 00:18:29
• J.T. Poston – 00:20:20
• Si Woo Kim – 00:20:45
• Harris English – 00:21:03
• Mid Range – 00:21:21
• Michael Kim – 00:21:55
• Brian Harman – 00:23:20
• Taylor Moore – 00:24:37
• Ben Griffin – 00:24:55
• Ryan Gerard – 00:25:10
• Harry Hall – 00:25:19
• Jacob Bridgeman – 00:25:39
• Mac Meissner – 00:25:59
• Blades Brown – 00:26:11
• Karl Vilips – 00:26:40
• Emiliano Grillo – 00:27:11
• Nico Echavarria – 00:27:28
• Sami Valimaki – 00:27:41
• Betting Cards – 00:27:56
• One And Done – 00:29:04
• Outro – 00:30:15

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What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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