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2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National: Picks & Golf Predictions

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The BettingPros PGA Podcast is back with hosts Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer to break down the 2025 Cognizant Classic. Join us as we delve into the thrilling conclusion of the Mexico Open, where Brian Campbell clinched his first PGA Tour victory in a dramatic playoff against Aldrich Potgieter. Plus, they break down the course at PGA National and evaluate betting odds for players such as Min Woo Lee, Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry. Stay ahead of the game with expert PGA analysis!

Our discussion includes updated odds, expert parlays, strategic one-and-done picks, a comprehensive look at the field, and a deep dive into the course’s unique characteristics. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to golf betting, our insights will help you make informed decisions. Don’t forget to subscribe for weekly episodes covering the highs and lows of PGA betting.

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2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National Best Bets & Predictions

Betting Overview & Picks for the 2025 Cognizant Classic at PGA National

🏌️ Tournament Breakdown:

  • Event: 2025 Cognizant Classic (formerly Honda Classic)
  • Course: PGA National (Palm Beach Gardens, FL)
  • Par/Yardage: Par 71, 7,167 yards
  • Defending Champion: Austin Eckroat (-17)
  • Notable Features:
    • "The Bear Trap" (Holes 15-17) - One of the toughest three-hole stretches on Tour.
    • Firm & fast Bermuda greens - Scrambling & putting crucial.
    • Wind plays a major factor - Course located near the Atlantic coast.

🏆 Key Tournament Trends:

  • Winning Scores: Typically 10-14 under par can contend.
  • Course History Matters: Strong track records at PGA National (Shane Lowry, Russell Henley).
  • Iron Play > Driving Distance: Middle & short iron shots more important than long drives.
  • Wind Specialists: Players who thrive in tough, windy conditions tend to perform well.

?"? Official Betting Picks & Analysis

?"? Outright Winner Picks:

  • Shane Lowry (+2000)

    • Three straight top-5 finishes at PGA National.
    • Elite wind player & grinder, thrives on tough courses.
    • Lost to Sepp Straka in 2022 due to weather, unfinished business.

  • Russell Henley (+2200)

    • A Florida/Bermuda specialist.
    • Two top-10s at this course in recent years.
    • Top-10 form in two of his last three events.

  • Jordan Spieth (+4000)

    • Great Scrambler-one of the best in tough course conditions.
    • Shorter course helps mitigate his driver struggles.
    • Value at 40-1 against a weaker field.

  • Ben An (+3500)

    • Strong tee-to-green player with elite driving accuracy.
    • Great approach play from 150-175 yards, which is crucial this week.
    • 4th in the field in strokes gained around the green.

  • Chris Kirk (+6500)

    • Former winner at PGA National.
    • Consistently strong ball striker, accurate iron play.
    • Top-10 kicker added to maximize value.

?"? Long Shot Bets:

  • Tom Hoge (+11000)

    • One of the best iron players in the field.
    • Struggles with short game, but if irons are sharp, he can contend.

  • Carl Vilips (+20000)

    • Up-and-coming young talent, aggressive player.
    • Capable of a hot start & making noise in weaker field.

  • Danny Willett (+25000)

    • Former Masters Champion with three solid finishes at PGA National.
    • Coming off a top-10 at the Farmers Insurance Open.
    • Great hedge opportunity if in contention on the weekend.

?"? Top-10/Top-20 Bets:

  • Billy Horschel (Top-5, +900)

    • Five top-20 finishes in his last eight trips to PGA National.
    • Thrives in Florida-one of the best grinders on tour.

  • Lee Hodges (Top-10, +600)

    • Two top-15 finishes at PGA National in his last three trips.
    • Two top-10s on Tour this season, strong form.

  • William Mao (Top-20, +900)

    • Young Next-Gen player, capable of surprising performance in this type of field.

?"' Key Takeaways & Betting Strategy:

✅ Target Wind Players & Scramblers - PGA National penalizes bad shots, so strong iron play & putting are key.
✅ Avoid Distance-Only Players - This course isn't a bomber's paradise; accuracy & ball striking matter more.
✅ Sprinkle on Long Shots - The leaderboard can be volatile, and big names often struggle here.
✅ Live Betting Hedge Opportunities - Consider hedging long shots if they enter contention on the weekend.

Would you like a betting cheat sheet for the Florida Swing? ?"?🏌️?"?

2025 Cognizant Classic Timestamps:

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What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting "against the spread" refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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