2025 Memorial Tournament Picks & Golf Predictions

Overcome Dublin, Ohio, by linking up with Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer for their top 2025 Memorial Tournament picks and predictions! Can Collin Morikawa (+1600) regain his form, or does odds-on favorite Scottie Scheffler (+280) mop the floor at Muirfield Village Golf Club?

Plus, can Hideki Matsuyama (+3500) be the hero PGA Tour bettors need? Our discussion includes updated odds, expert parlays, strategic one-and-done picks, a comprehensive look at the field and a deep dive into the course’s unique characteristics.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to golf betting, our insights will help you make informed decisions. Don’t forget to subscribe for weekly episodes covering the highs and lows of PGA betting.

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Event: The Memorial Tournament
Course: Muirfield Village Golf Club, Dublin, OH (Jack Nicklaus design)
Par 72 • 7,569 yards • Signature Event (71-player field with a 36-hole cut)


🏌️‍♂️ Charles Schwab Recap

  • Winner: Ben Griffin - Earned first individual PGA Tour win after previously winning the Zurich team event with Andrew Novak.

  • Runner-up: Matthias Schmid - Applied pressure late but made too many early mistakes.

  • Scottie Scheffler: Finished T-4; surged Saturday with a 64 but couldn't close the gap on Sunday.

  • Colonial played firm and windy; greens were tough to hold.


?"? Course Breakdown: Muirfield Village

  • Fast, firm bentgrass greens

  • Demands distance and accuracy off the tee + elite long-iron play

  • Very difficult to scramble; second only to Augusta in scrambling difficulty

  • Wind expected: 10-20 mph during the week

  • Winning score likely: Between -5 and -10


🧠 Key Attributes for Success

  • Strong off-the-tee and long iron play (175+ yards)

  • Excellent scrambling & bogey avoidance

  • Bentgrass putting

  • Familiarity with green speed & layout is helpful (hard for debutants)


🏆 Past Winners

Year Winner Score
2024 Scottie Scheffler -8
2023 Viktor Hovland -7 (playoff)
2022 Billy Horschel -13
2021 Patrick Cantlay -13 (playoff)
2020 Jon Rahm -9

?"? Top Contenders & Picks

Bo's Betting Card

Player Odds Notes
Xander Schauffele +1500 2nd in Bo's model (elite scrambling & OTT); loves grinders on tough setups
Hideki Matsuyama +3500 Great course history, solid long iron player, elite short game
Si Woo Kim +4000 Top 15 in last 4 Memorials; accurate driver and hot putter
Taylor Pendrith +8000 Very good OTT and long iron play; solid recent form
Sam Stevens +10000 Sneaky model darling (#2 in scrambling, top 10 short game)

Pat's Betting Card

Player Odds Notes
Patrick Cantlay +1900 2-time Memorial champ, but poor putting form; still too much history to ignore
Hideki Matsuyama +3500 Shared pick with Bo
Alex Smalley +15000 Top 10 in strokes gained total this season; balanced skill set

🚫 Fades & Concerns

Player Reason for Fade
Scottie Scheffler Too short at +270 in a stacked field; defending champ, but Bo's looking elsewhere
Justin Thomas Lacks consistency off the tee; poor course fit
Collin Morikawa Form drop-off, weak proximity numbers in key ranges, poor scrambling
Ludvig Åberg Inconsistent form; shaky short game
Patrick Cantlay Struggling with putting despite strong ball striking
Corey Conners Worst around-the-green game in the field
Tony Finau No short game to speak of
Sungjae Im Ranked 174th in SG: Approach - a killer stat for Muirfield

🎯 Value/Longshot Picks

Player Odds Notes
Ricky Fowler +7500 Trending positively; solid recent play & course history
Matt Fitzpatrick +4500 Grinder who's top 10'd here last 2 years
Taylor Pendrith +8000 Bo's longshot pick
Sam Stevens +10000 Great scrambling, bogey avoidance, par-5 scoring
Alex Smalley +15000 All-around consistent stats this season

🥇 One & Done Picks

Host Pick Reason
Pat Collin Morikawa Out of options; hoping ball-striking returns at a course he's done well at
Bo Xander Schauffele High floor, elite fit, hoping for win & cash boost

?"? Final Thoughts

  • Target complete players who thrive in tough conditions: strong OTT, scrambling, and long iron play.

  • Scotty Scheffler is obviously dangerous, but odds offer little value in a high-variance, stacked field.

  • This is a week for grinders and shot-makers, not bomb-and-gouge types or those with glaring weaknesses.

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2025 Memorial Tournament Timestamps:

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