2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open: Picks & Golf Predictions

by BettingPros Staff |
Mar 26, 2025

Pat Fitzmaurice and Bo McBrayer return as the PGA Tour heads to Texas for the 2025 Texas Children's Houston Open! Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy lead the field, but could longshots like Aaron Rai (30-1), Jake Knapp (75-1) or Tony Finau (35-1) deliver value? Pat and Bo break down the Memorial Park course, key stats, and betting angles, plus their One & Done picks. Get the latest odds and insight before placing your bets.

Our discussion includes updated odds, expert parlays, strategic one-and-done picks, a comprehensive look at the field, and a deep dive into the course’s unique characteristics. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to golf betting, our insights will help you make informed decisions. Don’t forget to subscribe for weekly episodes covering the highs and lows of PGA betting.

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2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open Best Bets & Predictions

Houston Open Preview

⛳ Course Profile: Memorial Park

Par 70, but long at 7,475 yards.
Big, fast Bermuda greens.
Generous fairways, minimal rough.
Unique aspects:
- 5 par 3s (including short 155-167 yd holes and long 216-237 yd holes).
- Only 3 par 5s, two of which are over 600 yards.
- Emphasis on ball-striking, driving distance, and par 3 scoring.
Wind forecast: Gusty all four days (10-25 mph), rain/storms likely on Thursday & Friday.

?"? Key Stats for Modeling:

Ball Striking
Driving Distance
Recent Putting Form (Short-Term Trends)
- Long hitters have historically succeeded at Memorial Park.
- Windy, fast conditions favor experienced players and strong approach games.

🎯 Top Outright Picks:

?'? Bo McBrayer's Betting Card:

Rory McIlroy (+700) - ?"? Form: 2 wins in last 4 starts (Pebble Beach & The Players). Needs Houston as a Masters tune-up.
Keith Mitchell (+5000)
Max Greyserman (+6000) - 7th here last year; top 10 in Bo's model.
Carl Yuan Vilips (+12000)
Kevin Roy (+15000)
Danny Walker (+20000)

?'? Pat Fitzmaurice's Betting Card:

Rory McIlroy (+700)
Aaron Rai (+3000) - 3 straight top-15 finishes, 7th twice in Houston.
Tony Finau (+3500) - Former champ (2023), T2 last year.
Maverick McNealy (+5000)
Jake Knapp (+7500) - Long, elite putter, trending in 2025.
Joel Dahmen (+12000)
Carl Vilips (+12000)

?"? Notable Player Notes

Scottie Scheffler (+330): 2nd-9th-2nd last 3 Houston starts, but low ROI at these odds.
Aaron Rai: Excellent fit despite lack of distance.
Tony Finau: Great course history; inconsistent form.
Max Greyserman: Trending, long off the tee, scores on par 5s.
Jake Knapp: Great putter, must improve accuracy off the tee.
Kurt Kitayama: Good course fit, but ice-cold putter.

?"? One & Done Picks

Host	Pick	Result (pending)
Bo	Max Greyserman	TBD
Pat	Aaron Rai	TBD

Bo continues his streak of no missed cuts; Pat aims to rebound from selecting Sam Burns (missed cut at Valspar).

2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open Timestamps:

Introduction – 0:00:00
Recap Valspar Championship – 00:00:30
Texas Children’s – 00:06:50
Memorial Park – 00:07:15
Favorite – 00:12:52
Rory Mcllroy – 00:13:45
Scottie Scheffler – 00:15:44
Aaron Rai – 00:17:30
Michael Kim – 00:17:52
J.J. Spaun – 00:18:07
Tony Finau – 00:18:17
Jason Day – 00:18:33
Min Woo Lee – 00:18:39
Maverick McNealy – 00:18:47
Keith Mitchell – 00:20:00
Mid Range – 00:20:26
Max Greyserman – 00:20:55
Kurt Kitayama – 00:21:49
Alex Smalley – 00:23:29
Thomas Detry – 00:23:40
Jake Knapp – 00:23:53
Karl Vilips – 00:25:56
Danny Walker – 00:26:42
Kevin Roy – 00:27:07
Davis Riley – 00:27:34
Ricky Castillo – 00:27:57
Joel Dahmen – 00:28:10
Betting Cards – 00:28:50
One And Done – 00:29:40
Closing – 00:30:27

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