2026 3M Open Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets
The PGA Tour returns stateside for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities this week. It’s a lengthy par 71, running 7,431 yards, with plenty of water hazards, rebuilt bunkers, and three-inch bluegrass rough to avoid.
Scottie Scheffler is a massive betting favorite (+240) ahead of his 3M Open debut. Kurt Kitayama will look to defend his title at 25-1, although he’s the second betting favorite behind Scheffler, followed by Maverick McNealy, Hideki Matsuyama, and Tom Kim at 30-1 or shorter.
My 2026 Open Championship Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets went a disappointing 0-3 at Royal Birkdale. Matt Fitzpatrick and Justin Rose both missed the cut, while Patrick Reed settled for a pedestrian T46 finish. None of these three golfers came close to cashing a Top 20 finish, with Fitzpatrick’s missed cut ending his hot streak shockingly as one of the tournament betting favorites.
We’ve only got three more tournaments left in the PGA Tour calendar before the FedExCup Playoffs tee off. I’ve found three golfers who hold value in the Top 20 Finish (incl. Ties) prop betting market on FanDuel for the 2026 3M Open.
Follow me on X at Matt_MacKay_ for more free picks and analysis throughout the remainder of the 2026 PGA Tour season and FedExCup Playoffs.
2026 3M Open Picks: Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Top 20 Finishing Position
2025 3M Open champion, Kurt Kitayama, is viewed by bookmakers as a strong prospect in golf betting markets this week. The NorCal native has four top 10 finishes in 2026, although he hasn’t cracked a top 20 finish in five straight events.
Kitayama’s off-the-tee and approach-shot skills are the most notable metrics for why he should play well in his return to TPC Twin Cities. He’s ranked 30th in total strokes gained this season, including 10th in SG: Approach, 32nd in SG: Off-the-Tee, sixth in total driving, and eighth for greens in regulation at 70.3 percent.
Putting is the primary weakness we’re dealing with when it comes to betting on Kitayama to post a top 20 result. However, he’s collected a T6-1 in two trips to TPC Twin Cities, so let’s back Kitayama for a third consecutive top 20 finish at this event at plus odds.
Pick: Kurt Kitayama (+125)
Top 20 Finishing Position
Earning his Tour Card in 2026, rookie Johnny Keefer has dazzled in certain tournaments this season. The 25-year-old American ranks ninth in SG: Off-the-Tee and 15th in SG: Approach ahead of his 3M Open debut.
That’s a potent combination at virtually any course, especially one that’s built like TPC Twin Cities. In fact, Keefer is eighth in proximity and second for greens in regulation at 71.8 percent.
Keefer’s short game needs to improve to post a top-20 result in his debut at this event. However, he has a pair of top 10 finishes across his past seven tournaments played.
Let’s bet on Keefer for his fourth top 20 finish of the season at +280 odds.
Pick: Johnny Keefer (+280)
Top 20 Finishing Position
Emiliano Grillo has been a consistent finisher at the 3M Open. The Argentinian has four top 20 finishes in six trips to TPC Twin Cities, including a T20 in 2025.
Grillo has struggled in terms of metrics this season. He does sit 12th in driving accuracy and 32nd in proximity. He’s also top-50 in 200+ yard approach shots.
This is a textbook horse for the course scenario. Let’s place one more wager on Grillo to record his third top 20 finish of the year at a lucrative price of 3-1.
Pick: Emiliano Grillo (+300)