2026 TOUR Championship Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets
We’ve reached the final stage of the 2026 FedExCup Playoffs with the TOUR Championship. Hosted at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, this lengthy par 70 features the top-30-ranked golfers in the FedExCup who successfully navigated the first two playoff legs, with a chance to win the biggest event of the season and pocket $10 million.
Wyndham Clark’s statement win at the BMW Championship on Sunday secured the golfer’s third outright win in 2026. He’s red hot and looks to finish off a spectacular season with his first FedExCup championship.
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler enters as a +350 betting favorite, following a T12 finish at Bellerive on Sunday. After announcing he dealt with sickness during his play at the BMW Championship, we’ll see if Scheffler can return to form as he did during his dominant victory at the FedEx St. Jude Championship a couple of weeks ago.
Other notable betting favorites aside from Scheffler (+350) and Clark (+1600) include Rory McIlroy (+950), Xander Schauffele (+1200), Patrick Cantlay (+1600), Ludvig Åberg and Sam Burns at +1800 odds. No cut line will be enforced during these four rounds at East Lake, which features a fair amount of tree-lined fairways, water hazards, 3.5-inch rough, and TifEagle Bermudagrass greens running at a fast 13.5-foot pace via Stimpmeter.
My 2026 BMW Championship Picks & Predictions: Best PGA Bets settled a profitable 2-1 on Sunday. Wydham Clark’s Top 10 Finish was never in doubt, cashing at +170 odds, while Gary Woodland’s T5 finish was also fairly sweat-free for a Top 20 Finish at +105 odds. Viktor Hovland’s T33 finish was the lone loss, as I backed him for a Top 10 Finish at +170 odds.
Let’s finish the 2026 PGA Tour season with a bang! I’ve got three best bets to place ahead of Round 1 at the TOUR Championship on Thursday.
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2026 TOUR Championship Picks: Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
Ludvig Åberg continues to be one of the best young golfers on the PGA Tour. His biggest weakness is an inability to contend into Sunday.
The Swede has gone T9-T7-T16 in his last three starts, shooting 67 or lower in five of 12 rounds. Åberg has gone T16-T21 in two trips to East Lake.
Åberg ranks sixth in total strokes gained in 2026. This includes 19th in SG: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach, 14th in total driving, 11th in proximity, and 27th in putting average.
Bet on Åberg to finally crack a Top 10 Finish at -125 odds ahead of his third outing at the TOUR Championship.
Pick: Ludvig Åberg (-125)
Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
A run of four straight top 10 finishes came to an end when Hideki Matsuyama logged a T28 finish at the BMW Championship on Sunday. The Japanese golfer sits 17th in SG: Approach in 2026, 15th in scrambling, 26th in proximity, and 8th for 200+ yard approach shots.
Matsuyama can be a bit volatile, but he’s continuously shown an ability to heat up and go on a birdie run. There is value on Matsuyama this week, who has previously posted three top-10s in his last seven trips to the TOUR Championship.
Bet on Matsuyama to record a Top 10 Finish at +125 odds in East Lake this weekend.
Pick: Hideki Matsuyama (+125)
Top 10 Finishing Position (incl. Ties)
I can’t quit Gary Woodland right now. He’s had a bounce-back campaign in 2026, and I don’t see Woodland slowing down, coming off a T4 finish at Bellerive on Sunday.
Woodland makes his first return to East Lake since a 15th-place finish in 2019. However, starting strokes are no longer enforced, giving the 42-year-old an edge he didn’t previously hold.
Notable ranks include sixth in SG: Off-the-Tee, including 9th in total driving and sixth in driving distance. Woodland also sits 19th in 200+ yard approach shots, 41st in proximity, and 13th in par 4 scoring this season.
Bet on Gary Woodland for a Top 10 Finish at+165 odds.
Pick: Gary Woodland (+165)