3 Best MLB Bets for Friday (6/20)
The MLB betting systems have treated us well this year. Therefore, I looked through some of the most profitable MLB betting systems and trends this season and share my three best MLB bets for tonight’s MLB slate below.
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Friday’s Best MLB Bets: System & Trends Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Away Dogs Non.Conf.
The “Away Dogs Non.Conf.” system has added a 14.4% return on investment (ROI) over its last 262 bets. It’s only won 48% of the time, but has earned more than 38 units of profit in the previous year.
This system identifies teams that are underdogs, playing on the road, in a different division and in a different conference during the regular season.
The Seattle Mariners will compete against the Chicago Cubs at an early 2:20 pm ET start time. George Kirby will get the call for the Mariners. Ultimately, after a slow start to his season, he’s looked terrific over his last couple of starts. He’s struck out 27.3% of batters in the previous 30 days and has limited teams to 22.5% of fly balls.
Kirby will battle Matthew Boyd, who has also been very good over the last month. That said, his strikeout numbers are low, and the Mariners are an aggressive group. I’d expect the Mariners to put the ball in play a lot. When you do that, good things happen.
Consider the Mariners on the Moneyline today.
Pick: Mariners Moneyline (+110)
MLB Guardian unders
The “MLB Guardian under” system has added a 10.2% ROI over its last 169 bets. The Guardians have gone under in 55% of games over the last year and this system has profited nearly 18 units.
The Guardians will send Tanner Bibee to the mound tonight. He’s a right-handed pitcher who has struck out 25% of batters over the last 30 days. He’s also limited his last 120 batters to a .101 ISO and wOBA of .265. He’s completely turned it around from an abysmal start earlier in the year. He’ll likely add a lot of strikeouts against an Athletics squad that has struck out 24.7% of the time against righties over the last month.
On the other hand, Jeffrey Springs will throw for the Athletics. He’s a lefty who hasn’t been electric. That said, he’s taking on a Guardians lineup that hasn’t hit lefties well at all over the last 30 days. The Guardians have hit just a .121 ISO and wOBA of .266 with 24.8% of strikeouts against lefties in the previous 30 days.
The advantage goes to Springs.
Think about the under in this game.
Pick: Under 9.5 Runs (-110)
Run line loss
This final system identifies underdogs on the run line against teams that lost their previous game. It has added a 5.5% ROI and earned more than eight units of profit over the last year.
Right now, you can get Rockies +1.5 at odds of +104 on the run line. That fits the script.
The Rockies will face Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks, who has allowed a .159 ISO over the last 30 days. He’s also given up nearly 11% of walks during that stretch and has struck out only 17.1% of batters. Gallen doesn’t look like an ace pitcher right now.
Meanwhile, Austin Gomber will pitch for the Rockies. In his season debut, he allowed a .000 ISO and wOBA of .137 with only 5.6% of walks. Gomber will effectively be Colorado’s best starter for the rest of the season. He’s a veteran and reliable.
Rock with the Rockies on the run line.
Pick: Rockies +1.5 (+104)