3 Best NFL Bets for Week 1 (2025)
The first Sunday of the NFL season is here.
Throughout the entire season, I’ll provide some of the best bets using our premium betting systems. Over the years, there have been many insanely profitable betting systems. Let’s take advantage as we head into Week 1.
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Week 1’s Best NFL Betting System & Trends Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Rushing Yards Unders for Road Players
Over its last 622 bets, the “Rushing Yards Unders for Road Players” system has added a 5.8% return on investment (ROI) with a profit of nearly 36 units. This system aims to target the under for rushing yards. Additionally, the player must be on the road, serving as an underdog in the regular season.
Nick Chubb fits the description.
Chubb has moved on from Cleveland and will start for the Houston Texans. He hasn’t really recovered from his season-ending injury a couple of years ago. However, he’s getting the start in place of Joe Mixon, who will start the year recovering from his injury.
Ultimately, we really don’t know the snap count for Chubb. However, we do know that his prime is likely behind him, and he’s competing with three or four other running backs for snaps on the roster.
Therefore, let’s take Chubb to go under his 41.5 rushing yards prop line in Sunday’s game.
Pick: Nick Chubb Under 41.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Passing Yards Unders for Road Favorites
Last season, the “Passing Yards Unders for Road Favorites” system added a 30.6% ROI on 16 bets.
This system targets quarterbacks who are underdogs for passing yards on the road.
Aaron Rodgers’ line is listed at 202.5 yards. He’s set to face a dynamic Jets defense in Week 1. He’s also probably not very familiar with his teammates, as he didn’t play a single snap in preseason.
At the end of the day, this will likely be Rodgers’ final season in the NFL. He’s aging and no longer playing at a high level. It’ll instantly become apparent in Sunday’s game against the Jets. New York wants their revenge on Rodgers.
Pick: Aaron Rodgers Under 202.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Plus Money Receptions Unders (≤33% Over Hit Rate L15)
The “Plus Money Receptions Unders (≤33% Over Hit Rate L15) system has hit 50% of the time. However, since it involves plus-money bets, the ROI has been nearly 9% over the last year.
This system looks for players to go under on receptions with a price tag between +100 to +800. The player also can’t have gone over in more than five of the last 15 games played dating back to last season.
Jaylen Waddle is currently on the list. His prop line is sitting at 4.5 receptions with a matchup against the Indianapolis Colts. There are many question marks surrounding the Dolphins. Some believe they’ll be one of the worst teams in the NFL and really struggle on offense. The offense has a history of injuries and has been performing poorly lately. It’s why you’ll want to consider fading Waddle in this spot. Take his under using this profitable system.
Pick: Jaylen Waddle Under 4.5 Receptions (+100)