3 Best NFL Bets for Week 13 (2025)
There have already been four NFL games played this week. But while there are fewer games on this weekend’s NFL slate, there’s still plenty of value on the betting board. I’ve added the three best NFL bets using our top premium betting system picks for Week 13. Take a look.
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Week 13’s Best NFL Bets & Trends Picks
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yds Unders as an Underdog
It’s been a year to forget for Justin Jefferson.
It’s not because he’s playing poorly. It’s ultimately because he hasn’t had a consistent quarterback, or a good quarterback, all season long. It will be former Minnesota Gophers quarterback Max Brosmer under center this week against the Seahawks. Brosmer began the season as the No. 3 quarterback on the depth chart. He played his college ball in-state, so he got his chance to remain on the roster. The reality is that Brosmer wasn’t even a top-five quarterback in the Big Ten last season.
Jefferson has added at least 57 receiving yards in 64% of games this season. However, he’s hit no higher than 48 in three of his last four games. The disaster of a season got worse once J.J. McCarthy started instead of Carson Wentz. McCarthy is injured for the second time this season.
Ultimately, this betting system proves that Jefferson has struggled to add receiving yards when his team is an underdog. When the Vikings are underdogs. Jefferson has hit the under in five straight games and has helped bettors earn an 87.8% return on investment (ROI). That streak has a lot of potential to continue with a rookie quarterback making his first NFL start on Sunday.
Pick: Justin Jefferson Under 56.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Bryce Young Passing Yards Unders (Home)
Bryce Young has struggled with passing yards at home in Carolina. He’ll likely struggle even more against the Los Angeles Rams, who are one of the best teams in the NFL this year.
Over the last four games, Bryce Young has gone under his passing yards prop line at home, giving bettors 3.49 units of profit with an ROI of 87.25%. He hasn’t played a home game in a couple of weeks. In addition, he’s added at least 190 passing yards in just 36% of games this season. Young had at least five poor passes in seven of his last 10 games and has had fewer than 95 air yards in four of his previous five games.
I’m not going to trust Young’s arm against the Rams.
Pick: Bryce Young Under 191.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Travis Etienne Jr. Rushing Yards Overs when Favored
We nailed this betting system last week. So why not go after it again?
Travis Etienne Jr. has a system for his over on rushing yards when his Jaguars are favored to win the game outright. Etienne has gone 5-0 to the over when the Jaguars are favored, and now he’ll face a Titans team that barely wins. If the Jaguars get out to an early lead and extend it to a multiple-possession lead, Etienne will likely get enough carries to earn 64 or more rushing yards.
After all, Etienne has hit this line in three of his last four games, only failing to add at least 73 rushing yards on the road against Houston. Fortunately, Tennessee doesn’t have the defense Houston has. Plus, Etienne has earned at least 15 carries in four consecutive games and just rushed for 5.7 yards a carry last week.