Air Force vs. Baylor: College Football Week 3 Longshot Picks (2024)
We have already seen a few teams experience a fall from grace just two weeks into the college football season. But that doesn’t mean finding potential long-shot winners will be more challenging this week. Why not? Because some teams look great on paper, not because they are great. They just haven’t played anyone.
This week, we will focus on matchups in which one team may not be as good as its record and stat sheet would otherwise indicate.
Of course, as you consider betting on one of these picks or another long shot, remember this: the spread exists for a reason. While these bets may have a shot at paying out if the gridiron gods happen to smile on the team(s) you bet on, the betting favorite is probably the better team.
But the better team doesn’t always win. Here are our favorite College Football sleepers and longshot picks for Air Force vs. Baylor.
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College Football Week 3 Long Shot Bets: Air Force vs. Baylor
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Air Force vs. Baylor
- McLane Stadium in Waco, TX
- 7:30 p.m. ET on FS!
- Baylor is 3-0 all-time vs. Air Force.
It is not easy to know what we’ll see from the Baylor Bears. They dominated an FCS school in Week 1 and looked great on both sides of the ball, as they should, considering the competition. Utah dominated the game last week until Cam Rising was knocked out of the game. With the offense stagnant, the Utes’ defense was called upon to get the job done.
While Baylor had some success on offense in the second half, they never really threatened.
Like Baylor, Air Force played and defeated an FCS school in Week 1. However, while the score does not indicate the win was as dominant as Baylor’s, it’s important to remember that the service academies are run-dominant teams. The scores usually don’t get out of hand. They lost to San Jose State in Week 2. While the offense has not looked great, the defense has held opponents to 23 points this year.
We have not seen enough of both teams to make one a heavy favorite. At the same time, it is hard to say we’ve seen enough offense from Air Force to think they’ll be competitive against a decent Big 12 team like Baylor.
Air Force’s defense will keep the Falcons in the game. If Baylor’s quarterback Dequan Finn (he has thrown two) can gift the Falcons with a pick or two, that may be the break Air Force needs to get the win. Even if the Bears win, do not count on them to cover.
Our Pick: Air Force Falcons