Navigate

Best Bets for Super Bowl Sunday LVII (Eagles vs. Chiefs)

by |

The big game is just around the corner! Super Bowl LVII is nearly here, and we’ll have you covered up until kick off of the game between the Chiefs and Eagles.

Get ready for the big game with our Super Bowl LVII Betting Guide >>

Best Bets for Super Bowl Sunday LVII (Eagles vs. Chiefs)

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl MVP

  • Odds: +130
  • Sportsbook: FanDuel
  • Date: Feb. 4
  • Units: 1
  • Notes: This is basically another way of betting Chiefs moneyline, which is +105 across the market. If the Chiefs win, I think there's a 90% chance Mahomes will be the MVP. I have the Chiefs projected as favorites, so I think this line should be closer to +110 or +115.

Harrison Butker Super Bowl MVP

  • Odds: +35000
  • Sportsbook: PointsBet
  • Date: Feb. 4
  • Units: 0.25
  • Notes: This bet is in coordination with my Mahomes MVP position. If Mahomes wins, I'll profit 1.05 units (1.3 units won on Mahomes minus 0.25 units lost on Butker). If Butker somehow wins, I'll profit 86.5 units (87.5 units won on Butker minus 1 unit lost on Mahomes. If neither wins, I'm out 1.25 units. In this game, both quarterbacks - Mahomes (ankle) and Jalen Hurts (shoulder) - are somewhat injured. And both defenses are good: The Eagles (70) and Chiefs (55) were Nos. 1-2 in most sacks this year.So I think the odds of this being a tight, low-scoring game are greater than most people imagine, and I also believe the Chiefs are being discounted by the market. If the Chiefs win, but Mahomes has a mediocre game because of injury and matchup, we could see Butker have multiple field goals - and since the spread (-1.5) is short we might see a game-winning field goal. I think the odds of Butker winning Super Bowl MVP are about 0.5% - but the implied odds at 350-1 are 0.28%, so I see some value here. Framed differently: This line is 250-1 at most books and as low as 200-1 at Caesars. I think PointsBet is way out of line with the market and the realistic odds. Butker is highly unlikely to win Super Bowl MVP. But if he does ... I'll be buying myself something nice. Like an autographed Butker jersey.

 

Justin Watson Under 1.5 Receptions

  • Odds: -120
  • Sportsbook: BetMGM
  • Date: Feb. 7
  • Units: 1.2
  • Notes: I have Watson projected for 0.7 receptions. Not since Week 12 has he had more than 1.5.

More Super Bowl LVII Betting Advice

BettingPros Staff Super Bowl LVII Betting Advice

Super Bowl Squares

Novelty Prop Bet Picks

Betting Facts & Trends

Super Bowl LVII Game Picks

Super Bowl LVII Prop Bets

Same Game Parlay Picks

Whether you're new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our Sports Betting 101 Section - including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners - or head to more advanced sports betting strategies - like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread - to learn more.

Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts

Try Premium for FREE in our mobile app

BettingPros App