Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Odds & Game Pick (2021)
With not only the AFC East but playoff positioning up for grabs on Sunday, the Bills and Patriots will meet for the second time in two weeks, this time in New England. For the Patriots, a win would secure the division as the young Bills look to tie things up with two weeks left to play.
Let’s take a closer look at this matchup and see where the value lies.
View our Pick of the Day in the BettingPros mobile app (free!) >>
Details
- Opening Line: Patriots -1, O/U 44.5
- Current Line: Patriots -2.5, O/U 43.5
- Last meeting: December 6, 2021, Patriots 14, Bills 10
Overview
Once seemingly in control of the AFC, the Bills have been on a slide since mid-November. Losing three of their last five, their two wins have come over New Orleans and Carolina. Their three losses have come against the only teams during that span with winning records.
For the Patriots, seven straight wins were halted last week in Indianapolis, as they couldn’t overcome a 20-point third-quarter deficit despite rallying late. Still, the Patriots won the yardage battle by a net +90, including throwing for 284 yards as Mac Jones was more than adequate.
Check out all of our NFL game previews and picks for the week >>
Trends
- Bills are 0-4 ATS in L4 games following a win
- Over is 5-0 in Bills L5 games as a road underdog
- Over is 4-0 in Patriots L4 home games
Bottom Line
In a game that will be in the NFL record books, these two played back on December 12th when the Patriots won despite throwing just two passes. On the day, the Patriots ran for 222 yards and dominated on defense, and I don’t see how things go much differently this time in Foxboro.
Despite their backs being against the wall and what’s turning into a trendy underdog pick, I like for the Patriots to handle business in this one on their way to winning yet another AFC East title.
Pick: Patriots -2.5
Bet $10, Win $200 if Your Team Scores a TD >>
Subscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Google Podcasts | Stitcher | RadioPublic | Breaker | Castbox | Pocket Casts
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our How To Bet and Sports Betting Strategy and Advice pages are for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including How to Bet on Sports — or head to more advanced strategy — like 10 Tips to Become a Sharper Sports Bettor — to learn more.
Johnny is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Johnny, check out his archive and follow him @JohnnyCovers.