Bundesliga Soccer Sports Betting Picks of the Week (2020): 5/26-5/27
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Weâre on a bit of a roll now as we swept the board last weekend, pushing our Bundesliga picks to 5-1 so far. Itâs likely just some early luck, so letâs not get too excited. Hopefully we can keep it up as we move on to Matchday 28.
Itâs a quick turnaround this week, so make sure youâre tuning in early this week. While the first two weeks of games were on the weekends, weâve got mid-week action coming up on Tuesday and Wednesday. Hereâs a look at our picks for the week.
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Eintracht Frankfurt +100, Draw +270, Freiburg +250 (Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook)
Eintracht Frankfurt is one of the worst teams in the Bundesliga and thatâs showed of late. Since getting back to business after the COVID-19 hiatus, they were pummeled 5-2 by Bayern Munich and 3-1 by Monchengladbach. They really werenât in either of the games. Now theyâll take on SC Freiburg, who is currently seventh in the standings table.
You might be wondering why Frankfurt is favored here but theyâve actually been respectable at home. They are 6-3-4 at home â the sixth-best home mark in the Bundesliga â compared 2-1-10 on the road, which is the worst road mark. Freiburg is just an average team both home and away as they are ninth in both categories.
Iâm looking at an over here as Frankfurt has given up 15 goals in its last four games overall and 18 times in itâs last five Bundesliga matchups. Frankfurt home games have averaged 3.6 goals per game this season. Freiburg is not a high-scoring team â just 19 goals in 14 road games â but Frankfurt should be welcomed here. Iâm expecting an over.
Pick: Over 2.5 -154 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Monchengladbach
Werder Bremen +360, Draw +310, Monchengladbach -145 (Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook)
Werder is actually coming off a win over SC Freiburg but theyâve been pretty bad this season. Other than that win a tie versus Hertha on March 7th, they have lost six of their last eight. The scorelines havenât been close either as theyâve lost by a combined score of 16-2 in those six games.
On the other hand, we have Monchengladbach, who are coming off a 3-1 loss to Leverkusen. Theyâre a respectable side, though, as they are fourth in the standings.
Monchengladbach is on the road here but home games have not been an advantage for Werder Bremen this season. They have just five points in 12 home games, which is the fewest in the Bundesliga. Their one home win is also the smallest number. Monchengladbach has three wins and a draw in their last four road games, and are 7-2-4 in away games this season, which is good for the fifth-best road mark.
Iâm pretty comfortable laying -145 on the side here but -1 +170 is a little more tantalizing as Iâm not expecting a close game.
Pick: Monchengladbach -1 +170 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Schalke 04
Dusseldorf +165, Draw +230, Schalke +165 (Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook)
On the surface, it looks like weâve got a bit of a mismatch here. Schalke is eighth in the Bundesliga table on 37 points while Dusseldorf is fighting to avoid relegation. They are 16th in the standings with just 24 points. However, there might be some value with the home team here.
Schalke is coming off a 3-0 loss to Augsburg, who had just three more points than Dusseldorf before that match. Schalke has actually been outscored 7-0 in their two games since returning from the hiatus and theyâve been outscored 21-2 in their last nine contests. They havenât won a game since January 17th.
Itâs hard to get excited about Dusseldorf as theyâre pretty bad. However, they did have posted four straight draws and a win in their last five, which is pretty good for them.
I have a pretty good feeling that this ends in either a draw or a Dusseldorf win, so Iâm going to bet Dusseldorf on the two-way line at DraftKings Sportsbook where itâs -109 both ways. I donât have much confidence in Schalke these days.
Pick: Dusseldorf -109 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.