Champions League Final Picks: PSG vs. Inter Milan (Saturday)
It has been a thrilling 2024-25 UEFA Champions League campaign, but Saturday's final between Paris Saint-Germain and Inter Milan will close the storied season. The clubs will descend upon Munich, Germany, to battle it out for 90 minutes and determine the champion. France's Paris Saint-Germain is a -165 favorite to win the cup, while Italy's Internazionale comes back at +130 to win its first continental trophy since 2009-10.
I'll touch on the odds for the final before diving into my betting analysis and favorite wager. Kickoff is set for Saturday at 3:00 p.m. ET from Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany.
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Champions League Final Best Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Paris Saint-Germain (+120) vs. Inter Milan (+235), DRAW (+235) | O/U 2.5 (-105/-120)
The last six Champions League Finals have seen the final score finish below 2.5 goals, with those matches averaging out to a measly 1.33 combined goals per contest. This is a trend I can easily see continuing on Saturday, as both of these teams have been nearly impenetrable through their runs to the title.
You may point to Inter's recent 7-6 and 4-3 barnburner aggregates against Barcelona and Bayern Munich, but before those performances, the Italian side had only conceded two goals in 10 matches. They've been a force defensively, and Yann Sommer's seven clean sheets lead the Champions League this year.
During the league phase, Paris Saint-Germain ranked second in expected goals against (6.9), while Inter was fourth (7.3). The Parisians got even better as we entered the knockout stage, conceding only eight tallies in eight matches. They logged four clean sheets during the eight-match sample size.
All things considered, I think it's best to play the under. These clubs leaned heavily on their defense and goalkeeping throughout the season. I can easily see this game ending in a 1-1 draw after 90 minutes and heading to extra time. From there, it's anyone's guess who will raise the trophy. I think it's worth a +130 flier on the Italian side to snap their 15-year European title drought. But as for my best bet, I'm locking in the under.
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-120)