Champions League Final Picks & Predictions: PSG vs. Arsenal
The 2025-26 club season concludes on Saturday, and we have a banger in the UEFA Champions League Final between reigning champions Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal. Paris Saint-Germain is a modest -145 favorite to lift the cup, while England's Arsenal is priced at +120 to claim its first European title. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET from Puskas Arena in Budapest, Hungary. I've got you covered if you're looking to throw a few bucks on the match this weekend. Below, I'll dive into my top Champions League Final picks, laying out my argument and touching on the key metrics that you need to know.
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Champions League Final Picks & Predictions
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Paris Saint-Germain (+135) vs. Arsenal (+215), DRAW (+230) | O/U 2.5 (-105/-125)
I'm on the under in Saturday's final. Goals are typically tough to come by in the Champions League Final, with six of the last seven championship games producing two or fewer goals. The outlier is Paris Saint-Germain's 5-0 shellacking of Inter Milan last year. Since 2018-19, all seven matches have seen one side shut out completely.
Arsenal’s defense has been nearly impenetrable this season. During Champions League play, the Gunners rank first in goals allowed per 90 minutes (0.43), save percentage (89.2%) and clean sheet percentage (64.3%). In all tournaments, Arsenal has conceded one or fewer goals in seven consecutive matches.
On the other hand, I'm all in on Paris Saint-Germain’s defensive ability. I wasn't at first, but after watching them put the clamps on against Bayern Munich earlier this month, I'm convinced they'll be up for the task in slowing down a mediocre Arsenal offense. Overall, the French side is the fifth-best team in terms of goals allowed per 90 minutes (1.37) in Champions League play.
As for who wins this match, I'd have to lean towards Paris Saint-Germain. I simply think they have the more dynamic offense. Even though Arsenal is a juggernaut defensively, a steady and consistent attack from the French side should find the back of the net at least once on Saturday.
Through the first 90 minutes, which is what our under bet will be graded on, I can see this match landing 1-1 or 1-0.
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals (-125)