Champions League Semi-Final (Leg 2) Picks & Predictions (2026)
Last week's Champions League semi-final openers were electric, and all four teams still have hopes of advancing to the final in Budapest later this month. The squads are back at it for more midweek action on the continental stage, and I've got you covered if you're looking to put some money on the line. Let's dive into both matches and lock in a couple of UCL best bets for Tuesday and Wednesday.
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Champions League Picks & Predictions: Semifinals (Leg 2)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Arsenal (-175) vs. Atletico Madrid (+475), DRAW (+320) | O/U 2.5 (-115/-110)
Last Wednesday's Atletico Madrid vs. Arsenal match ended in a 1-1 draw and it was a relatively low-event contest. Viktor Gyokeres scored from the spot (44') for Arsenal, while the hosts got one back with a penalty kick from Julian Alvarez in the 56th minute. Tuesday's second leg is slated for 3:00 p.m. ET from Emirates Stadium in London, England.
I'll be on the Under in London on Tuesday. For starters, Arsenal has seen its last five Champions League ties finish under 2.5 goals. It continues to be their defense that keeps them in the UCL and Premier League title races. In this league, through 13 matches, the Gunners rank first in goals against per 90 minutes (0.46) and clean sheet percentage (61.5%).
Meanwhile, Arsenal's offense hasn't looked very dynamic recently. On a side note, their lack of offensive firepower suggests that Atletico to advance could have value at +215. However, I'll stick with the under as my top play. Arsenal is coming off of a 3-0 Premier League win over Fulham, but that was the first time that they've scored multiple goals in their last nine outings across all competitions. I think we're in for another low-scoring, defensive classic.
Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-110)
Bayern Munich (-145) vs. Paris Saint-Germain (+290), DRAW (+400) | O/U 4.5 (+115/-145)
The more energetic of the two matches last week came in the City of Light, where Paris Saint-Germain escaped town with a 5-4 victory over visiting Bayern Munich. PSG once led 5-2, but late goals from Dayot Upamecano (65') and Luis Diaz (68') pulled the Bavarians within striking distance for the return trip. This second leg is set for Wednesday at 3:00 p.m. ET from Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany.
I'll ride with Bayern Munich moneyline Wednesday afternoon. For clarification, this means we're backing Vincent Kompany's group to be leading at the 90-minute mark, not that they'll advance to the final. The oddsmakers have the odds to advance at a coin flip, listing each club at -110.
Bayern has been a wagon at home this season, going an insane 20-2-1 across all competitions. In those 23 matches, they're averaging 3.6 goals per match. Bayern has found the back of the net 3+ times in eight of its last nine games in all leagues.
I really don't have much of an anti-PSG angle here, as the reigning champs have been exceptional as well. However, Bayern feels like a team of destiny to me. They've been elite at home, they have a high-powered offense that can score at will, and you also never know what rabbit Manuel Neuer will pull out of his hat. With their home crowd behind them, I think Bayern at least leads after 90 minutes and forces extra time.
Pick: Bayern Munich Moneyline (-145)