Cleveland Browns vs. Los Angeles Chargers Odds & Game Pick (2021)
The Los Angeles Chargers have been one of the best NFL teams to bet on this year. They have hit the under in every game this year and are 3-1 against the spread. The bad news this week, the Cleveland Browns have been the other great team to bet on this year. They are also 3-1 against the spread. The reason behind this is both of these teams’ great defenses. The Browns are allowing 16.8 points per game, while the Chargers are allowing 18.5 points per game. Offensively, these teams are both comparable as well. The Browns are scoring 25 points per game, and the Chargers are putting up 23.8 points per game. The difference is how these teams move the ball on offense. The Chargers love to throw the ball, while the Browns love to run the ball.
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Details
- Opening Lines: Cleveland Browns -1.5, Total 47.5
- Last Game: October 14, 2018, Los Angeles Chargers 38-14
- Current Winning Streak: Los Angeles Chargers (2)
- Both of these teams are 3-1 against the spread this year
Overview
The Browns have the #2 best defense in the NFL right now. They are the #3 best passing defense, only allowing 182 yards per game, and they are the #3 best rushing defense, only giving up 66 yards per game. The Chargers have not played a defense even in the top 16 this year. Their lowest scoring games always come against the teams that have good rushing defenses. The Cowboys have the #6 rushing defense, and Washington has the #15 rushing defense, both of these games, the Chargers failed to score over 20 points. The worse the rush defense gets, the more points the Chargers get. That is going to be a factor in this game. The Chargers will struggle to score against the Browns, which will allow the Browns opportunities to win this game.
The Chargers are one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL. This year they are #28 overall and are giving up 140 yards per game. This week they are going up against the best rushing offense in the NFL. The Browns are averaging 177 yards per game and 5.1 yards per rush. This game is a bad matchup for the Chargers all around. The Browns have the advantage in this matchup. Their offense will score 25+ points against this defense, and according to trends, the Chargers will struggle to score 20 points against the Browns defense.
Bottom Line
The Cleveland Browns are a value pick here. They are one of the top defenses in the NFL. Their running game is the best in football, and the Chargers struggle to stop the run. Cleveland started as the favorite, and now they are an underdog. The Browns have everything going for them. I love the numbers and the value here. Away favorites win 61% of the time in the NFL. This week Cleveland is an away favorite that has the odds of being an underdog. Take the value and the numbers this week with the Cleveland Browns.
Pick: Cleveland Browns Moneyline (+110)
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Cameron Lynch is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Cameron, check out his archive and follow him @captron26.