College Football First & Anytime TD Scorer Picks: Week 11 (2024)
With the CFP Rankings released, teams know where they stand in regard to the 12-team CFP field. Other than winning, the only thing teams can do to improve their chances is win by a lot. "Style points" can be the deciding factor between two close teams.
So, don't be surprised to see teams running up the score, making this a great weekend to bet on NCAAF first and anytime touchdown scorer props.
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Week 11 Best College Football First & Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks
(Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook)
Michigan vs. Indiana
Indiana has one of the best offenses (No. 2 in scoring) in the country this season (yes, Indiana). Michigan is not the team it was in years past, but it is still a team that must be taken seriously. However, it has been struggling against the run in recent weeks, with teams averaging 175 ypg over the last three.
Indiana's run game is comparable, if not outright better, than those three teams. Ellison has scored in every game but the first and last, so we definitely like his chances of getting in the endzone this week. Lawton is just as reliable as Ellison, so we also like him to score.
But both have minus money odds, so we'd suggest a same-game parlay (SGP odds– +196).
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
- Antwane Wells Jr. (WR – Ole Miss) | +115 (+800)
- Cayden Lee (WR – Ole Miss) | +100 (+750)
- Dillon Bell (WR – Georgia) | +175 (+1200)
- Dominic Lovett (WR – Georgia) | +175 (+1400)
Wells is currently third on the team in receiving touchdowns with four and has not recorded a score since the Georgia Southern game. However, both Jordan Watkins and Tre Harris are 'doubtful' about the game, which could lead to Wells being the No. 1 option vs. Georgia.
Lee is second to Harris in receptions this season with 36 but has scored just once. So, if Harris and Watkins are out, there is a good chance he could also score.
Ole Miss has a pretty solid run defense but a shaky pass defense. So, we'd suggest passing on running back Travis Etienne this week and going with Bell and/or Lovett. Bell leads the team with four touchdown catches this year. Lovett leads the Bulldogs in receptions with 38 (three touchdowns).
Alabama vs. LSU
- Jalen Milroe (QB – Alabama) | -180 (+600)
- 2 TDs +280
- Jam Miller (RB – Alabama) | +100 (+850)
- Kyren Lacy (WR – LSU) -120 (+700)
- Aaron Anderson (WR – LSU) | +165 (+1100)
Whenever Alabama plays, you can almost count on Milroe running one in. He's had at least one rushing touchdown in every game but one this season (vs. Tennessee) and two touchdowns in five games (the last vs. South Carolina).
LSU is coming off a game that saw them give up five on the ground, three to quarterback Marcel Reed. That is why we also like Jam Miller to score. He's had seven this season, including two in Alabama's shutout win over Missouri two weeks ago.
As for LSU, Alabama has been stingy against the run, which has us leaning more toward the wide receivers. Lacy leads the team in receptions (41), yards (618), and touchdowns (six). However, he has only scored once in LSU's last five games (vs. Ole Miss). Anderson, however, has scored once in three of the last four.
Because of the minus-money odds for Milroe and Lacy's anytime touchdown prop, we'd suggest pairing them with someone else in a same-game parlay. The odds for a SGP for Milroe and Miller's anytime TD props would be +219. For one with Lacy and Anderson, the odds would be +374.