College Football Odds, Picks & Predictions: Week 11 (2026)

by Scott Bogman |
Nov 13, 2026

College football betting expert Scott Bogman will provide his top picks and predictions for every week of college football action. Let’s get ready for this weekend’s games with Bogman’s best college football bets for Week 11. Check out all of his top college football Week 11 picks and predictions below.

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College Football Week 11 Bets & Picks

(Odds and lines via BettingPros’ consensus betting information)

Let’s dive into our top college football picks and leans for Week 11.

Tennessee at Texas A&M

The Vols let us down earlier this season on the road when they failed to cover against Arkansas, but almost nothing can go right for the Aggies right now. A&M piled up 457 yards last week and couldn’t score a touchdown. Tennessee is coming off its second-most impressive win of the season, after beating Alabama 26-10, with a 34-6 drubbing of Kentucky.

The Vols have been frustrating but have fallen into a nice rhythm of giving RB DeSean Bishop, who ranks 10th in rushing yards with 1,066, the ball 25-30 times to control the clock and throwing when necessary. The Aggies played Missouri in Week 6 and were pushed around on both sides of the ball, allowing 252 rushing yards while rushing for only 29.

The Aggies are going to have a difficult time wrangling Bishop. When Tennessee gets the lead, its defensive linemen pin their ears back and get after the quarterback. Tennessee leads the FBS with 39 sacks this season, and Aggies QB Marcel Reed holds the ball the fourth-longest among 100 qualified quarterbacks at 3.19 seconds.

A&M has scored fewer than 10 points three times against SEC opponents. This game might not be that bad, but Tennessee should win by more than a field goal.

Pick: Tennessee (-2.5)

Stanford at Virginia Tech

This is a big line for a Virginia Tech team that was just beaten down by SMU, but Stanford has been miserable on the road. The Cardinal have lost all four road games both straight up and against the spread. They received far more points against Notre Dame (+40 in a 57-3 loss) and Louisville (+23 in a 52-24 loss) and still failed to cover.

Stanford has three ATS wins this season, all of which came in outright wins against Hawai’i, Georgia Tech and NC State. That NC State win was the last straw for head coach Dave Doeren. Stanford is coming off its bye week, but James Franklin is above .500 with a rest disadvantage.

Virginia Tech QB Ethan Grunkenmeyer ranks 15th in passing yards per game in the FBS. The Hokies’ team total of 37.5 would represent their second-highest scoring output of the season against an FBS opponent, behind the 44 points they put up against Old Dominion.

This would normally be a look-ahead spot with Miami coming next for the Hokies, but they should be refocused after the big loss to SMU. The Cardinal’s trend of being blown out on the road should continue with a massive Virginia Tech win.

Pick: Virginia Tech (-15.5)

Colorado State at Washington State

Washington State has been much better against the spread (5-4) than straight up (1-8) this season. However, the offense has been so bad that it’s hard to envision the Cougars pulling away, even against the worst defense in the country.

Washington State has scored more than 20 points just twice in nine games. The Cougars rank 119th out of 138 teams in offensive EPA per play, 123rd in offensive success percentage and 130th in scoring at 19 points per game.

Colorado State won’t stop anyone, but the Rams can score. Their 35.8 points per game rank 20th in the country, and they sit 14th out of 138 teams in offensive EPA per play and 35th in offensive success percentage.

Washington State’s defense is the better side of its team, but the Cougars still rank 95th in points allowed per game (27.4), 92nd in defensive EPA and 89th in total yards allowed per game (377.8). QB Hauss Hejny returned in Week 8 and has improved the offense enough to keep Colorado State within a touchdown.

Pick: Colorado State (+9.5)

North Dakota State at Hawai’i

This is an extremely low total to take the Under on, but the travel to Hawai’i for road teams, coupled with late start times of 10 p.m. ET or later, has helped the Under hit in all four games. North Dakota State likes to control the clock, ranking 14th in time of possession and in the top 20 in rushing play percentage. The Bison take just under 30 seconds between plays, ranking 129th in pace of play.

Hawai’i hasn’t matched up well most of the season, and its two consecutive wins came against bottom feeders Northern Illinois (135th in FPI) and UTEP (137th). In their four previous games, the Warriors scored no more than 16 points.

NDSU has allowed more than 16 points just three times: a 21-16 loss at New Mexico, a 31-17 win against Nevada and a 38-32 game against Air Force. The Nevada and Air Force games account for the Bison’s only two Overs this season.

The Bison are much more efficient on defense than offense, ranking 16th in defensive efficiency compared with 109th in offensive efficiency. They could start flat in the first half, helping keep their scoring total lower. Meanwhile, Hawai’i has only found scoring success against the worst defenses on one of the easiest schedules in the country, ranking 134th in strength of schedule.

A 21-10, 27-10 or 21-6 NDSU win would cash both bets, and Hawai’i has already lost by those scores against New Mexico, Wyoming and UNLV. These teams are a combined 14-4 to the Under this season. Hawai’i has covered the spread four times: twice as a favorite and twice as an underdog of at least 14 points. The Bison should be able to thread this needle for us.

Picks: North Dakota State (-5.5) and UNDER 39.5

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