College Football Picks & Predictions: Week 11 (Tuesday)
The MAC Football Championship race keeps getting more fascinating. And more complicated. But that should make for an interesting slate of games today. I've detailed what I expect from those clashes. Here are the best college football picks for today’s games.
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Tuesday’s Best College Football Picks & Predictions (Week 11)
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Western Michigan Broncos at Akron Zips
Western Michigan is so much better than its 6-3 overall record indicates.
The Broncos should've started the season with a win at Michigan, if not for one final second being put on the clock - when it shouldn't have been - which led to the Wolverines’ Hail Mary win. Western Michigan also played and lost to Boise State, the clear frontrunner to make the College Football Playoff (CFP) out of the Group of Six.
The Broncos' only other loss was a 45-38 defeat to Toledo, which ties Western Michigan and Buffalo at 4-1 for second place in the league standings.
The Broncos have the MAC’s best scoring defense (19.2 points per game allowed) and a top-five rushing offense at 165.2 yards per contest. Akron, meanwhile, ranks second-to-last in rushing defense, allowing 183.6 yards per game on the ground.
Even at home, this is a bad matchup for the Zips.
Picks: Western Michigan -15.5 (-112) & Under 49.5 Points (-112)
Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons
This is a battle between two programs that have struggled mightily. Kent State and Bowling Green are the two worst teams in the MAC in terms of total offense.
The Golden Flashes are 3-6 overall and 2-3 in league play, while the Falcons are 2-7 and 2-3 against MAC teams.
But Bowling Green is showing a little bit more life to me. After beating Sacramento State 38-10 a few weeks ago, the Falcons have lost to Ball State, Buffalo and Western Michigan. But they lost by a collective 22 points in those matchups. And two of those teams - Western Michigan and Buffalo - are in the running to win the conference.
I'll go with Bowling Green at home, and we’ll back the under.
Pick: Bowling Green -5.5 (-108) & Under 43.5 Points (-110)
Ohio Bobcats vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks
Looking at the conference standings, you might think this year's Battle of the Bricks wouldn't be that close. But I imagine it will be.
Ohio (7-2) is 5-0 in MAC play and has won six straight games. But look at who the Bobcats have played and beaten this year. They have only one win all season against a team with a winning record, and it came in their second week against Jacksonville State.
And the Bobcats have survived a lot of close games that should've been blowouts for a MAC frontrunner. They won at Akron by eight points last week and defeated Eastern Michigan by four at home in their previous outing. They also beat Kent State by three.
I know Miami (OH) has been more inconsistent. The RedHawks lost to Buffalo in overtime last week, but the Bulls have emerged as a MAC title contender.
Considering this one is in Oxford, I'm going with the RedHawks. And since both teams are in the top three in the MAC for scoring offense, I'll take the over.
Pick: Miami (OH) +1.5 (-120) & Over 47.5 Points (-112)