College Football Week 1 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Nevada vs. Texas State (2022)

Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 1 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: Nevada vs. Texas State.

Check out our other Week 1 game previews:

College Football Week 1 Odds, Picks & Prediction: Nevada vs. Texas State

Nevada lost as much talent this offseason as anyone this side of Colorado. Last week, we attempted to fade the Wolf Pack against NMSU, and fell just short due to an absurd confluence of factors: NMSU turned the ball over five times (to Nevada’s zero), but still had a shot to cover in the final minute.

That is, until HC Jerry Kill elected not to kick a field goal from Nevada’s 17 down 11 points with 47 seconds left. NMSU ultimately turned it over on downs, losing 23-12 despite out-gaining Nevada by almost 50 yards (Nevada gained 257 against objectively one of the nation’s five-worst defenses).

Nevada’s offense is quite bad, and it looks like it’s going to have issues throwing the ball all season. When this line opened on Sunday, at Nevada -4.5, my play was on Texas State. But now that the spread has dropped to close to pick ‘em, we have our eye on another play.

Depending on the forecast you look at, winds in Reno on Saturday afternoon are expected to be between 15-21 mph. Texas State’s defense was one of the worst in the nation against the pass last season. Won’t have to worry about that on Saturday.

Bet: UNDER 52

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting “against the spread” refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

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