College Football Week 14 Early Lines: Odds & Predictions (2024)

by Matthew MacKay |
Nov 25, 2024

We’ve finally arrived at rivalry week in college football. Week 14 is the final week of the 2024 regular season schedule and there’s a ton at stake for teams seeking a berth into the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff.

My College Football Week 13 Early Lines best bets went 1-2. We took a brutal bad beat with Ohio State going over 52 total points on a quarterback sneak out of the kneel-down formation to end the game at 53 total points, while the other loss came backing Colorado during a lopsided 37-21 loss to Kansas on the road. Our lone winner was Notre Dame destroying the undefeated Army Golden Knights 49-14 in Yankee Stadium on Saturday night. The Fighting Irish took a 28-7 lead into halftime and continued scoring at will in the second half to easily cover as two-touchdown favorites.

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College Football Early Line Movement: Week 14

(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Away	Home	Open Spread	Current Spread	Open Total	Current Total	Spread +/-	Total +/-
Notre Dame	USC	+6.5	+7.5	50.5	51.5	-1	+1
South Carolina	Clemson	-4.5	-2.5	49.5	49.0	+2	-0.5
Texas	Texas A&M	+5.5	+6.0	48.5	48.5	-0.5	0

Notre Dame (5) vs. USC

There’s no way I’m fading Notre Dame against a USC team that has struggled to compete against Big Ten opponents this season. Head coach Lincoln Riley’s decision to bench QB Miller Moss in favor of Jayden Maiava indicates that the Trojans’ offense has been underperforming in 2024.

Notre Dame rosters the second best scoring defense in FBS (11.6 points per game) and is averaging 39 points per game, which is sixth-most in the country. The Fighting Irish almost always win the line of scrimmage battle on both sides and USC has only scored 30 or more points once since losing to Penn State in overtime back on October 12th.

I’d bet this line up to -13.5 on Notre Dame and their explosive backfield between QB Riley Leonard and running backs Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price. USC is allowing 4.2 YPC and a 67.7 percent completion rate to opponents, so despite having home field advantage, staking a unit on Notre Dame -7.5 is the best bet to place in this rivalry game.

Best Bet: Notre Dame -7.5 (-108)

South Carolina (16) vs. Clemson (12)

South Carolina has completely turned its season around after losing to LSU, Ole Miss, and Alabama in a four-game stretch earlier in the season. The Gamecocks are now ranked 16th and have won five consecutive games, including a huge 44-20 win at home over Texas A&M. Their 35-9 win against Oklahoma is also looking better following the Sooners’ 24-3 rout of Alabama in Week 13.

Clemson’s ridden a bit of a rollercoaster with their 2024 season. The Tigers lost 34-3 to Georgia in Week 1 and then went on a tear, especially with their offense, scoring over 40 points per game in five games during a six-game stretch. Then, Clemson lost 33-21 to Louisville at home, followed by low-scoring wins over Virginia Tech and Pitt. QB Cade Klubnik is a special talent for Clemson, throwing three or more touchdowns in four of the Tigers’ last six games played.

South Carolina specializes in shutting down the run game, while allowing only two passing touchdowns once in 2024 during a three-point loss to LSU in Week 3. Clemson’s defense is also stout up front and its secondary has forced three interceptions and five total turnovers against Virginia Tech and Pitt.

I expect a low-scoring contest in this rivalry game based on how well each defensive unit is playing right now. South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers has elevated his game, and we know Klubnik has a strong, accurate arm, but the inability to establish the run for either team will lead to under 49 total points.

Let’s jump on this number before it climbs any higher, already moving up from 48.5 to 49 early in the week. A one unit wager on under 49 total points between South Carolina and Clemson is the best bet to make in this matchup.

Best Bet: Under 49 (-110)

Texas (3) vs. Texas A&M (20)

Texas A&M’s exhausting loss in the fourth overtime on the road to Auburn in Week 13 has left the Aggies with an outside longshot chance to still clinch a CFP berth with three losses. Meanwhile, the No. 3 Texas Longhorns have only one loss to Georgia but have to bring their best game to Kyle Field in a hostile environment at College Station in primetime on Saturday night.

The Longhorns’ defense has been carrying them through several games in 2024, including a 20-10 road win over unranked Arkansas in Week 12. Texas’ offense did heat up against Kentucky in Week 13, recording four touchdowns and averaging 5.3 YPC to wind up with a 31-134 win at home over the unranked Wildcats.

We haven’t seen Texas tested since their 30-15 home loss to Georgia back in mid-October. The Aggies will be motivated to avenge their loss at home in front of their fans in a massive rivalry game with CFP implications. Texas A&M QB Marcel Reed has thrown for three touchdowns in back-to-back games, going for over 290 yards in both contests, while the Aggies’ rushing attack is averaging 5.0 YPC in 2024.

Texas will have its hands full, especially against an aggressive Aggies defense that is holding opponents to a 52.4 percent completion rate and 3.9 YPC. Let’s stake a unit on Texas A&M to bounce back in a last-ditch effort to clinch a CFP berth or play spoiler for their in-state rival by covering +6 on the point spread as home underdogs on Saturday night.

Best Bet: Texas A&M +6 (-112)

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