College Football Week 14 Odds, Picks & Predictions (Friday)
Gear up for another awesome weekend of college football action with BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our top picks for the week along with our projected spreads and totals to help guide your college football bets. Below are our top picks and predictions for Week 14 college football games.
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Top College Football Odds & Picks: Week 14 (Friday)
Oregon State vs. Boise State
It’s been an up-and-down season for the Beavers after they found themselves as one of the odd men out after conference realignment last year. However, Oregon State showed up big in their battle with brothers in arm Washington State as they upset the Cougars as double-digit underdogs to a 484-yard, 41-point performance in their three-point victory. This week, they’ll go up against RB Ashton Jeanty and the Boise State Broncos. Boise State is in prime position for the inaugural 12-team CFP if they win out and claim the Mountain West championship next week. Oregon State isn’t a conference game, but the wins still matter and especially for Jeanty who is looking to cement a Heisman candidacy. The Beaver defense is giving up 178.2 YPG on the ground and rank 102nd in run defense EPA. Led by Jeanty who averages 187.5 YPG alone, Boise has the best rushing attack in the country per the EPA metric. With plenty of motivation and a favorable matchup, I expect Jeanty to try and create some Heisman moments in a blowout of Oregon State.
Pick: Boise State -18.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Oklahoma State vs. Colorado
Despite last week’s loss, Colorado still has a chance to play in the Big 12 championship. They are the best offense in the conference and average 36.6 points per game. This is a heavy-passing offense, so Shedeur Sanders should throw it a lot. Last week, that looked promising against Kansas, which was 14th in the Big 12 in passing yards allowed, but Sanders' 266 was the second-lowest against a conference opponent. Oklahoma State is slightly better at 13th, but nothing about this team is good. The Cowboys have lost all eight conference games, and just three have been by one possession. The defense is last in points allowed (39.3), and the offense has been stale; that primarily has to do with running back Ollie Gordon, who led the FBS in rushing yards last year with over 1,700, but right now, has 870. This a game the Buffaloes need, and playing one of the worst teams in the nation, they should get a convincing win.
Pick: Colorado -16.5
-John Supowitz
Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
A lot of has changed in the Big Ten in the past few years, but it’s nice to see tradition, too. Minnesota and Wisconsin battle in their annual border war for Paul Bunyan’s Axe, the reward for winning this rivalry game. A lot more is on the line for Wisconsin, too, as it needs to secure a victory to attain bowl eligibility, so that’s another storyline. Wisconsin has had a season of near misses, falling by three against top-ranked Oregon, while blowing leads against Penn State and USC. Things could be much different right now, but, alas, they’re not. Wisconsin has dropped four in a row, while going just 1-3 ATS in the span, and Minnesota won’t roll over for its rival. The Gophers gave Penn State all it could handle last time out in a 26-25 loss, and while it has three losses in the past seven games, each is by one score. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in the past seven, and 8-2-1 ATS on the season. This is going to be a defensive battle to the end, with Wisconsin finding a way into the bowl season with a narrow win at Camp Randall.
Pick: Wisconsin -2.5
-Daniel Dobish
Navy vs. East Carolina
The Navy started the season 6-0, but the Midshipmen lost three of their last four games and are now 7-3. On Friday, they'll face an East Carolina Pirates squad that has won four consecutive games. East Carolina also has seven wins and has scored at least 38 points in all of their games during this four-game winning streak. Ultimately, Katin Houser has been the difference during this streak. Since the start of October, he's thrown for at least 269 yards in every game and has added 16 passing touchdowns in his last five games. While Navy has a good secondary, the pass rush isn't always effective. East Carolina has some excellent receivers that continue to get a lot of separation. With time, Houser should be able to move the ball down the field against Navy effectively. Give me East Carolina at -2.5 (-115).
Pick: East Carolina -2.5
-Jason Radowitz
Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss
Ole Miss' loss last week has significantly hurt their chances at an at-large bid into the playoff. The best thing they can do is get a convincing win this week and hope some bubble teams lose. They have the offense to make this into a blowout; we did see them score 56 points. Jaxson Dart can throw it all over the place and have Henry Parish Jr. keep everything balanced. This is the Egg Bowl, and Miss State looks like expired eggs left in the sun. They're the only team without a conference win and don't even have a win against a FBS program. It seems like the Rebels are destined for a prominent bowl game outside of the playoffs, but they'll at least have a big win to hang their hat on.
Pick: Ole Miss -25.5
-John Supowitz
Stanford vs. San Jose State
Stanford’s first ACC season was disappointing. The Cardinal finished 2-6 in conference play and were only worse than Florida State. However, they almost added a road upset against California last week, losing 24-21, and beat Louisville a game prior, 38-35. Stanford has at least been competitive over the last couple of weeks. On Friday, they'll take on San Jose State. The Spartans are already bowl-eligible but have lost three of their last four games. The missed tackles have been high throughout the season, and the pass rush hasn't been consistent. If Ashton Daniels has more time in the pocket this week, he'll connect with Elic Ayomanor at a high rate and take over the game. Let's take Stanford at +120.
Pick: Stanford ML (+120)
-Jason Radowitz
Georgia Tech vs. Georgia
The Georgia Bulldogs host the rival Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets between the hedges, but this isn’t the same easy win on the schedule it might have been in the past. Georgia has won six in a row in the series since Nov. 25, 2017, but the Yellow Jackets are battle-tested and very dangerous. This team ruined the unbeaten season of Miami, albeit in a game at home, not on the road. Still, it has proven to be a tough team to handle at times. Georgia Tech ranked in the Top 50 in both total yards gained (414.7) and total yards allowed (340.5), and it is well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The run game is the strength, with RB Jamal Haynes piling up nine rushing scores and 5.2 yards per game. QB Aaron Philo has taken over the reins under center, but QB Haynes King subs in during run situations, and can be dangerous with his feet when called upon. For Georgia, it is still very much alive for a playoff spot, but it can’t fool around with its rival. QB Carson Beck, who had a rough four-game stretch with plenty of miscues, has cleaned things up in the past two games against Tennessee and UMass. Still, Georgia Tech has the defense to make his day a long one. UGA should get the win, but this is an awful lot of points. Georgia Tech has covered the past two meetings, and this is its best team in that three-year stretch.
Pick: Georgia Tech +19.5
Daniel Dobish
Nebraska vs. Iowa
The forecast calls for frigid temperatures as the Hawkeyes and Cornhuskers battle in Iowa City on Friday night. The elements should play right into Iowa’s favor as they love to rely on their star RB Kaleb Johnson, who has put up eight 100-yard rushing games on the season. Nebraska has had some success stopping the run, but against some of the stronger teams on the ground like Indiana and USC who both rank in the top 15 of EPA rush offense, they struggled and ultimately fell flat in those games. For Nebraska they’re going to want to try and score through the air with QB Dylan Raiola. That’s a tough ask against this Iowa squad that’s allowing just 196 YPG in the air. Surprisingly, the Hawkeyes have been the fifth-highest scoring team in the Big Ten this season at 29.4 PPG. In a game where they should be able to control the ball and the clock while forcing Nebraska into situations to make mistakes, Iowa will come out victorious with a comfortable win.
Pick: Iowa -5.5
-Ryan Rodeman
Utah vs. UCF
It's been a highly disappointing inaugural year in the Big 12 for Utah. It has a lot to do with the inefficiencies at the offense, as they scored the second-fewest points in the conference (18.1), which had to do with not having quarterback Cam Rising for most of the season. They still have a solid defense that ended BYU's undefeated season. UCF hasn't been any better as they come in, losing seven of their last eight. The Knights are the opposite of the Utes; they can put up the points, averaging 29.5 points in conference play, but are allowing 31.5 points. So which team's strong suit will win? Even at home, Central Florida is getting too much credit, and Utah should be able to keep this within one possession, thanks to their defense.
Pick: Utah +9.5
-John Supowitz
Utah State vs. Colorado State
Colorado State will need to rally after a tough loss to Fresno State last weekend that will likely take them out of the Mountain West Championship Game picture. The good news for the Rams is this matchup sets up nicely for them. CSU has revamped its offense to be more ground oriented, and while they haven’t been insanely efficient, they should have success against the Aggies, who rank dead last in the conference against the run. And while Colorado State’s defense isn’t particularly strong, it should have enough to keep a decent Aggies offense contained. Colorado State needs to win in impressive fashion to have an outside chance of earning a conference title bid, which is based on computer rankings. Old school, I know. For that reason, I’ll lay it with the Rams at anything under a touchdown.
Pick: Colorado State -6
-Matt Barbato