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College Football Week 6 Odds, Picks & Prediction: UAB vs. Middle Tennessee (2022)

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Let’s take a look at the College Football Week 6 odds, picks, and predictions for this week’s game: UAB vs. Middle Tennessee.

Here are other game previews for Week 6:

And check out our other Week 6 College Football betting content:

Check out Thor Nystrom’s Week 6 College Football Power Rankings >>

College Football Week 6 Odds, Picks & Prediction: UAB vs. Middle Tennessee

This line is being depressed for two reasons: 1) Middle Tennessee is still getting extra credit for upsetting Miami, and 2) UAB is being downgraded for getting upset by Rice last time out.

But UAB’s loss to Rice was fluky – UAB finished with a 92% postgame win expectancy. The Blazers are one of the nation’s leaders in second-order win discrepancy. UAB is 2-2 with 3.2 second-order wins. This means they’re solidly a 3-1 quality team.

MTSU is a pass-happy Air Raid team that needs to move the ball through the air if it’s going to move it all. The problem for them in this game is that UAB’s pass defense is elite. MTSU has bagged a bunch of expected points off explosive plays this fall. But here again, UAB is elite at preventing explosive plays.

MTSU likes to play fast, racing to the ball after completion for another snap. When the passing attack sputters, the rote yardage disappears, and so does MTSU’s ability to coax mental mistakes or take advantage of gassed defensive backs off no-huddle snaps.

UAB’s offensive prerogative is the opposite. It runs the ball with physicality. And then takes its time huddling and getting back to the line. This strategy should frustrate MTSU while giving UAB’s defense more time to rest between drives.

Pick: UAB -9.5

What is Betting Against the Spread?

Betting “against the spread” refers to the act of choosing the winning team based on a numeric handicap placed on the team that oddsmakers believe is superior, rather than picking the outright winner. For example, if the Rams face the Bengals, and oddsmakers set the spread at Rams -3.5, you would need Los Angeles to win by 4 or more points in order to cash your Rams bet.

What is an Over/Under Bet?

Over/Under is a wager based on how many points you think will be scored in a specific game. Oddsmakers set the total, and bettors decide whether the final score will be higher or lower than that number. If an Over/Under is set at 44.5 points and you bet Over, you will need the combined score of both teams to be 45 points or higher to win your bet.

What is a Moneyline Bet?

A moneyline bet involves choosing which team you believe will win a specific matchup. The moneyline favorite carries a minus designation, like -130. This means that you need to wager $130 to earn a $100 profit. Conversely, the underdog carries a plus designation, like +110. This means that you win $110 in profit on a $100 bet.

Prop Bet Analyzer: View top rated props and historical prop performance by player >>

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