Top College Football Week 6 Picks & Predictions (2024)

by Scott Bogman |
Oct 03, 2024

College football betting expert Scott Bogman will provide his top picks and predictions for each and every week of CFB action. Let’s get ready for this weekend’s games with Bogman’s best college football bets for Week 6. Check out all of his top picks and predictions below.

College Football Week 6 Picks & Predictions

Syracuse vs. UNLV

UNLV didn't miss a beat without Matthew Sluka beating Fresno State down 59-14, but the rest of the resume isn't very impressive. Houston and Kansas are both 1-4 so far this season and they had two weeks to prep for Fresno State. Even with the weak schedule UNLV is below average against the pass (88th in Pass Yards Allowed PG – 226 YPG). Syracuse has clicked passing the ball this season and currently is 3rd in the nation passing the ball. Syracuse has played an even weaker schedule than UNLV and even lost to Stanford as 9-point favorites. Syracuse was torched for 255 rushing yards in the opener against Ohio and also let Stanford put up 173 rushing yards on them. UNLV is 6th Overall in rushing yards per game averaging 283 YPG, and should be able to run on Syracuse. This game will likely be close, Syracuse has the better roster but UNLV has performed well and deserves to be ranked. This game looks like a close shootout with too many points toward UNLV and can sail past the 58.5 total.

Pick: Syracuse +6.5 & OVER 58.5

Missouri vs. Texas A&M

Missouri might not be the team they were thought to be coming into the season, but the system still shows them as the favorite in this tough road game. Missouri’s defense hasn't quite adjusted to losing NFL talent, but they are coming off extra rest with a Bye going into this game and performed well with extra rest against Georgia in the middle of the season last year and beat Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl. Texas A&M is likely to start QB Marcel Reed as the Aggies have won their last 3 games and Weigman is listed as questionable. Missouri is likely to come into this game rested and well-prepared after a close call with Vanderbilt. Neither defense has produced sacks (4 for Missouri and 5 for A&M) which is worse for A&M because Missouri throws the ball over 50% of the time. A&M also doesn't match up well offensively as Missouri is currently a Top 20 Rushing defense in yards per game (and also grade as a Top 25 run defense on PFF). Missouri seems to have more paths to victory in this game with an offense that can play catch up if they get down, play point for point, or lean on a lead. The wrong team might be favored here so a moneyline play on Missouri looks good.

Pick: Missouri ML (+112)

Iowa vs. Ohio State

These teams have combined to go 7-1 to the over in games this year, and this game looks like another one. Ohio State pulled off the gas against Michigan State after QB Will Howard was dinged up, but he looks good for this game. Iowa traditionally plays excellent defense, but this season, their defense is a little down, and the offense has been a little up from where it has been in recent years. Iowa only put up more than 26 points once last season and has gone over 30 in 3 of 4 games this season. Iowa has also given up some big plays: a 75-yard TD to Noel against Iowa State, 63, 43, and 62-yard TDs to Troy, and Minnesota also had some big chunk plays against them. Ohio State is not just first in Offensive roster strength but also 1st in Offensive Performance, and they should do the 'heavy lifting' to this total. Ohio State getting up early could lead to turnovers as the Hawkeyes don't have a strong passing game, leading to short fields and easy scores for the Buckeyes. The Over looks very attainable here.

Pick: OVER 45.5

Ole Miss vs. South Carolina

What was lost in Ole Miss’s upset last week was that Kentucky had the ball for 39:43, managed only 336 yards (18.8% coming on a 63-yard play), and 20 points with that lopsided Time of Possession. Ole Miss is 5th in PPG allowed at under 10, first in rushing yards allowed (46.2 rush YPG), grades as the #1 Defense on PFF, and matches up well against South Carolina's offense. Ole Miss was manhandled at the LOS against Kentucky and South Carolina has a dominant defensive line so points might not be easy to come by for either side. The difference here may be that South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers and RB Raheim Sanders are both questionable going into this game and are less than 100% going into this game. A 'bounceback' performance seems like the play and though this line hasn't moved yet the public has been on the South Carolina side so this number might become better the closer we get to kickoff. This won't be easy for the Ole Miss offense but they might not have to do as much as expected if the defense stands up again.

Pick: Ole Miss -9.5

Michigan vs. Washington

This might be the most unrecognizable National Championship rematch the following season ever. Washington hasn't played well in a tough game yet. The Huskies faltered in the Apple Cup (452 yards and 19 points vs Washington State) and had over 500 yards against Rutgers but couldn’t score (521 yards and 18 points). Is this going to get any better against Michigan? Washington might be able to move the ball a bit against Michigan, but they are 85th in third-down conversions and have been struggling to Kick Field Goals (5/11). Michigan has been incredibly one-dimensional on offense since QB Alex Orji took over with only 32 yards passing against USC and 86 against Minnesota. These teams both slow down the game with a slow pace (Wash – 85th in plays per game, Michigan 119th) as well. If the big plays are limited on both sides and both teams keep their current season pace of 40% or below 3rd down conversions, this looks like a nice Under play.

Pick: UNDER 41.5

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