College Football Week 9 Picks: Penn State vs. Wisconsin (2024)
College football betting expert Scott Bogman will provide his top picks and predictions for each and every week of CFB action. Let’s get ready for this weekend’s games with Bogman’s best college football bets for Week 9. Check out all of his top College Football Week 9 picks and predictions. Below we dive into College Football Week 9 game Penn State vs. Wisconsin.
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College Football Week 9 Picks & Predictions: Penn State vs. Wisconsin
Penn State vs. Wisconsin
This pick doesn't match the current trends, but it does not seem to be enough points, even in a 'look-ahead' spot and on the road for the Nittany Lions. Wisconsin has started to find a rhythm recently, winning big and covering the last three games but the oddsmakers may have given them a bit too much respect here as our system has this closer to a double-digit win rather than a TD win for PSU. Wisconsin has been able to mask the passing issues by running the ball during this streak at a 60.7% clip. Penn State is currently 10th in rushing defense, allowing less than 100 yards per game on the ground, and opponents have to pass at an over 50% clip to keep up. Wisconsin QB Locke has been solid in replacement of starter Tyler Van Dyke, but if he is forced to pass, his 5.4% Turnover Worthy Play rate (144th of 165 qualified QBs) is likely to show up and allow the Penn State defense to make a play. Penn State may be looking ahead but the spread is not big enough to depend on the Badgers. Lay the points and take PSU.
Pick: Penn State -6.5