College Football Win Totals Odds & Picks: SEC (2024)
Somehow, it’s already August. I say that with some sadness because it means we’re on the backside of the summer. I also say it with excitement and anticipation because the 2024 college football season - the first year of the 12-team College Football Playoff - kicks off in less than three weeks.
To get you ready for the upcoming season, I’ll be providing team previews and actionable betting insights for each of the Power Four conferences (RIP to the PAC-12).
While so much has changed across the college football landscape over the last few years, there’s been one constant: The SEC is the strongest and deepest conference in the country. And that depth only improved with the addition of Oklahoma and Texas to the conference. Here’s a team-by-team breakdown of the conference where it just means more.
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College Football Win Totals Odds & Picks: SEC
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Vanderbilt Commodores
Win Total: 2.5 (-190)
Yep, we’re starting this SEC preview by buying the Commodores. I placed a bet on Vanderbilt to go over 2.5 wins at -165 earlier in the summer, and I’m still ok with this bet even at these odds.
The Commodores are coming off a dismal two-win season that’s put coach Clark Lea squarely on the hot seat. Vanderbilt brings 15 starters back, including eight on defense, and tapped into an unusual resource to boost the roster and coaching staff.
Lea poached New Mexico State of arguably its top three resources: QB Diego Pavia, offensive coordinator Tim Beck and head coach Jerry Kill, who will serve as an analyst on Lea’s staff. That combination went into Jordan-Hare Stadium and knocked off Auburn last season.
Vanderbilt’s offensive upside should increase with the dual-threat Pavia and a zone-read scheme. Vanderbilt will never have a ton of talent at the skill weapons, but they do bring back 121 career starts on the offensive line.
Now, it’s fair to wonder where their three wins will come from, considering they’re likely to go winless in SEC play. Home games against Alcorn State and Ball State serve as Vandy’s only two gimmes on the slate. The win total will most likely come down to a road date in mid-September against a Georgia State team that’s rebuilding and is projected to be among the worst in the Sun Belt.
While Vandy has been awful in conference play, they do sport a 7-3 record against non-power conference opponents under Lea.
Pick: Vanderbilt Over 2.5 Wins
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Win Total: 4 (-110)
After a difficult first season following the passing of coach Mike Leach, Mississippi State hit the reset button by firing coach Zach Arnett and hiring Jeff Lebby, the former offensive coordinator at Oklahoma.
Lebby faces an uphill battle with just five starters back on each side of the ball. The hope is Baylor transfer QB Blake Shapen can effectively lead the Bulldogs offense as they return to an Air Raid scheme. Shapen will have to make due behind an inexperienced offensive line that’s essentially replacing the entire starting unit. A rebuilt offensive line could make matters difficult for an offense that plans to play at a fast tempo with a quarterback who made plenty of turnover-worthy throws last season.
The Bulldogs offense could be rather feast or famine this season, but they should be able to create plenty of explosive plays with UTEP transfer WR Kelly Akharaiyi.
Defensively, the Bulldogs lost seven of their top eight tacklers, making this unit a true liability. You may want to consider taking overs in Mississippi State games this year.
Mississippi State’s conference schedule is pretty brutal, as they get Texas, Georgia, Texas A&M, Tennessee, Missouri and Ole Miss. But home games against Eastern Kentucky, Toledo and UMass offer gimmes. That means the Bulldogs will need to win two of at Arizona State, Florida and Arkansas to clear this.
This total feels pretty spot-on for the rebuilding Bulldogs.
Pick: Pass
Arkansas Razorbacks
Win Total: 4.5 (-105)
Sam Pittman is another coach squarely on the hot seat after the wheels fell off in Fayetteville last season. The Razorbacks went 4-8 and now have to replace their two most electric offensive players, QB K.J. Jefferson and RB Raheim Sanders, who both transferred out of the program.
The Razorbacks do have continuity with 17 total starters returning. The hope is transfer QB Taylen Green (Boise State) and RB Ja’Quinden Jackson (Utah) can successfully replace the Jefferson-Sanders tandem. Arkansas also brings back its entire receiving unit. New offensive coordinator Bobby Petrino, who was formerly the program’s head coach, should have plenty of ammunition to light up the scoreboard.
Arkansas also has pretty strong depth on the defensive line and within the secondary, with the linebacker group being the biggest question on the unit.
Non-conference showdowns with Arkansas Pine-Bluff, UAB and Louisiana Tech should get the Razorbacks to three wins. But it’s admittedly hard to find two more wins on this schedule. Arkansas will travel to Oklahoma State in September and will probably be underdogs in all of their SEC contests. The win total will likely come down to road trips against Auburn and Mississippi State, as Arkansas’ home schedule is loaded with tough opponents.
Arkansas will likely be a team I bet as a double-digit underdog often this season, but the schedule is too hard to endorse a bet on the over.
Pick: Pass
Auburn Tigers
Win Total: 7.5 (+100)
After a disappointing first season, coach Hugh Freeze replaced his offensive and defensive coordinators. The most intriguing hire was new DC D.J. Durkin, who has a reputation for making swift improvements on that side of the ball.
Durkin’s unit does have to replace five players who were taken in the later rounds of the 2024 NFL Draft but it does return eight players with starting experience. The front seven looks stout, but Auburn will have to find some depth in the secondary behind top CB Keionte Scott.
Auburn does get QB Payton Thorne back, although I’m hardly his biggest fan after he threw for 1,755 yards and ran for 710. But the Tigers should be loaded at the skill positions. Jarquez Hunter could emerge as one of the best tailbacks in the SEC after rushing for 940 yards last year. But the bigger story will be at receiver, where Freeze brought in four highly-touted pass-catchers from the transfer portal. The talent level across the offense should be much higher.
Can Auburn take the next step under Freeze with all of this talent and a more competent staff? Yes and no. Auburn should start the season 4-0, as they host Alabama A&M, Cal, New Mexico and Arkansas. A late-season game against UL-Monroe makes five wins all but a lock. Tack on a likely home win against Vanderbilt and the Tigers are a safe bet to go bowling, at the very least.
But the schedule steps up significantly starting in the final week of September. Auburn will play four straight games against Oklahoma, Georgia, Missouri and Kentucky, with the latter three all on the road. Auburn wraps up the season with a home game against Texas A&M, followed by the Iron Bowl matchup at Alabama.
There’s no doubt Auburn will be an improved outfit this season. But finding two more wins against that SEC gauntlet won’t be easy, especially when considering only two of their six toughest games come at home.
Pick: Pass (Lean Over 7.5 Wins)
South Carolina Gamecocks
Win Total: 5.5 (-120)
South Carolina enters 2024 with continuity, as they bring back 15 starters as well as both coordinators. However, they could undergo an identity shift on offense. Gunslinger Spencer Rattler has moved on. The Gamecocks will turn to LaNorris Sellers under center, who is more of a dual-threat quarterback.
Sellers will benefit from sharing the backfield with Arkansas transfer RB Raheim Morris. However, the Gamecocks did lose four of their top five pass-catchers from a year ago. That makes it more likely South Carolina will rely on the ground game in 2024. The offensive line also brings back a ton of experience.
Defensively, eight starters return with the secondary being the strength of the unit.
Games against Old Dominion, Akron and Wofford give the Gamecocks three layups. A road trip to Vanderbilt should get them to four victories as the floor. However, earning two more wins could be a daunting task against a schedule that features matchups at Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss, at Alabama, Texas A&M, Missouri and at Oklahoma. Oh, and a rivalry game at Clemson to conclude the season.
Given the inexperience under center, South Carolina getting to six wins seems unlikely.
Pick: Under 5.5 Wins
Kentucky Wildcats
Win Total: 6.5 (-122)
Kentucky enters the season with some unknown upside under center, as Georgia transfer Brock Vandagriff is the starting quarterback. But it’s the defense that’ll be the main story in Lexington.
The Wildcats could boast the SEC’s best defense. The unit returns 10 starters and has a loaded front seven with three starters back in the secondary. If the Wildcats can be better defending third downs, they should be poised for an elite season.
Kentucky’s upside in 2024 will hinge on the offense, specifically Vandagriff, who has thrown just 21 passes since the 2021 season. The Wildcats will also have to replace a back-to-back 1,000-yard rusher in Ray Davis, who was taken in the fourth round by the Buffalo Bills. Ohio State transfer Chip Trayanum will look to make up for the loss of Davis and their two next best rushers. The running game should be bolstered by an offensive line that boasts 156 career starts. The receiving room is also talented and brings back two of their top three catchers.
Kentucky will be comfortable favorites against Southern Miss, Ohio, Vanderbilt and Murray State. However, they must travel to Ole Miss, Tennessee and Texas, and will host Georgia early in the season. With those four games likely being losses, Kentucky will need to find three wins against South Carolina, Florida on the road, Auburn and Louisville.
The defense will give Kentucky an advantage in all of these swing games, but the uncertainty with Vandagriff gives me pause for endorsing an over.
Pick: Pass (Slight Lean Over 6.5 Wins)
Florida Gators
Win Total: 4.5 (-150)
Head coach Billy Napier’s seat is warming up, if not hot already. And unfortunately for him, he’ll have to find a way to improve against the nation’s toughest schedule.
The Gators will host Miami in the season opener. Then they’ll play their only layup of the season against Samford before the rest of the gauntlet continues.
In non-conference play, Florida will also play state rivals UCF (no slouch and a threat to win the Big 12) and Florida State on the road to conclude the season. In conference play, Florida draws Texas A&M, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Kentucky, Georgia, Texas, LSU and Mississippi.
My goodness.
On the bright side, the Gators return QB Graham Mertz as well as three of their top four pass-catchers (although they lost leading receiver and draft pick Ricky Pearsall). Florida’s offense also lost RB Trevor Etienne.
While the offense should be solid, I do have questions about a defense that was pretty lousy last year and will replace half of the unit.
The Gators could finish the season with five straight losses as their schedule from November on is incredibly daunting. That being said, they only go on the road four times.
It’s a low bar to clear for a program like Florida. But the schedule combined with my disdain for both Napier and Mertz has me thinking the Gators won’t go bowling for a second straight season. The win total likely comes down to the in-state matchups, as well as home dates with Texas A&M and Kentucky.
Pick: Pass (Lean Under 4.5 Wins)
Texas A&M Aggies
Win Total: 8.5 (-110)
Let’s start with the biggest storyline: I love the firing of Jimbo Fisher, but I love the hiring of Mike Elko even more. Elko was Fisher’s former defensive coordinator at Texas A&M before taking the Duke head coaching job. Elko is now back in College Station after posting two winning seasons, including a nine-win campaign last season.
Elko will lead a defense that brings back nine players with starting experience. The Aggies’ defense has a ton of defensive line talent and should benefit on the back end after adding a slew of transfers with starting experience. With Elko running the unit, it should take a significant step forward.
Offensively, Texas A&M will hope for more stability under center after a turnstile at the position a year ago. Conner Weigman is back as the starter, although his 2023 season was riddled with injuries. An offensive line with 112 career starts will be tasked with keeping him healthy and upright. Elko hired Kansas State’s Collin Klein to run the offense, so expect a power running game in College Station.
Texas A&M returns its top three rushers, who combined to run for nearly 1,500 yards last year. The passing game loses top receiver Ainias Smith but has plenty of talent returning behind him.
Elko also will benefit from a manageable SEC schedule, as far as SEC schedules go. There’s no Georgia or Alabama on the slate, although Missouri, LSU and Texas are. However, all three of those games will be at Kyle Field, as will the season opener against Notre Dame, which should teach us plenty about both teams.
Games against McNeese, Bowling Green and New Mexico State are layups. While the Aggies should be favored in a neutral-site game against Arkansas, as well as road trips to Mississippi State and South Carolina. The win total could come down to how A&M performs on road trips to Florida and Auburn.
It’s worth noting Texas A&M went 0-3 in one-possession games against Alabama, Tennessee and Mississippi, so they could be due for some positive regression in that department. I love the Elko hiring and think the defense could be a stout unit. But the win total feels spot-on here. The season opener against Notre Dame will be a critical one to watch.
Pick: Pass (Lean Over 8.5 Wins)
Tennessee Volunteers
Win Total: 8.5 (-162)
Meet perhaps the biggest wild card in the SEC. The Volunteers have an exciting young quarterback in Nico Iamaleava, a former five-star recruit who threw for 314 yards and two touchdowns against a strong Iowa defense in a Citrus Bowl victory. Iamaleava will have leading receiver Squirrel White back, as well as Bru McCoy and Dont’e Thornton back from injuries.
Josh Heupel will have to replace leading rusher Jaylen Wright but has an offensive line that’s loaded with both talent and experience.
There are more questions on the other side of the ball for the Vols, who will rely on the transfer portal for improvements. Seven contributors from last year’s secondary are gone, and Heupel will need his trio of portal additions to make up the losses.
Tennessee also benefits from a pretty reasonable schedule by SEC standards. They’ll be big favorites against Chattanooga, Kent State, at Arkansas, Mississippi State, UTEP and at Vanderbilt.
But there are plenty of stiff tests. The secondary will be challenged right off the bat against Grayson McCall and North Carolina State in Charlotte in early September. Two weeks later, the Volunteers will travel to Oklahoma for the Sooners’ SEC debut. The Vols also host Florida, Alabama and Kentucky while traveling to Georgia.
Tennessee has a wide range of outcomes. On one hand, the Volunteers could have an elite offense and a solid enough defense to make some noise in the College Football Playoff hunt. On the other hand, Iamaleava’s inexperience could limit the offense’s upside and the defense could struggle mightily with an entirely new secondary.
Tennessee starts with a likely six-win floor. But can they go 3-3 against the rest of the slate? I think they certainly can, but at this juicy price, it’s not a pick I’d strongly endorse.
Pick: Pass (Slight Lean Over 8.5 Wins)
Oklahoma Sooners
Win Total: 7.5 (-110)
We go from a Tennessee team with plenty of roster questions but a favorable schedule to an Oklahoma squad with a pretty loaded roster but a nasty schedule.
The Sooners get an unkind welcome to the SEC, as they’ll face Tennessee, Auburn, Texas, Mississippi, Missouri, Alabama and LSU during conference play. Tennessee and Alabama come to Norman, while Texas is a neutral site.
That being said, Oklahoma should be able to start 3-0 against Temple, Houston and Tulane. They also host South Carolina and Maine, which means there’s a likely floor of five wins.
While the Sooners always have a talented offense, the defense could be the top unit for Brent Venables’ team. Eight starters return, including their top six linebackers and three starters in the secondary. The most notable returner is LB Danny Stutsman, who is a bit of a throwback as a do-it-all middle linebacker. Oklahoma should have one of the best defenses in their new conference.
Oklahoma’s offense will likely define this team’s ceiling. It starts with sophomore QB Jackson Arnold, a highly-touted recruit who will have some big shoes to fill after Dillon Gabriel left for Oregon.
The Sooners do bring back their leading rusher from a season ago, Gavin Sawchuk, as well as three of their four leading receivers. They also added the dynamic weapon Deion Burks from Purdue. Arnold should have plenty of talent alongside him.
The biggest question offensively lies on the offensive line. The Sooners have lost all five starters from last year’s unit, but replaced them with five transfers, and it has 114 career starts on the unit. It’ll be a tough task to get this unit to gel, but offensive line coach Bill Bedenbaugh is one of the best. Plus, this unit will have a few manageable games to gel before the meat of the schedule begins.
The schedule is daunting, but I trust the defense and think Arnold could ascend in his first full season as the Sooners’ starter.
Pick: Over 7.5 Wins
Missouri Tigers
Win Total: 9.5 (+146)
Missouri enters this season as one of the national darlings to make a College Football Playoff run. And the hype is valid. The Tigers went 11-2 a season ago and brought back nine starters to an electric offense headlined by QB Brady Cook and WR Luther Burden. They dd lose All-American RB Cody Schrader, who was the heartbeat of the team. But Mizzou replaced him with two talented transfers from the Sun Belt.
Defensively is where the questions lie for a team with College Football Playoff aspirations. Only five starters are back and the unit lost five NFL draft picks. The hits come hardest on the defensive line and secondary, with their top defensive end, three of their top four tackles and three defensive backs heading to the next level.
Some other factors could indicate some regression. Missouri won four games by single digits (including home wins over Middle Tennessee and Memphis) and they were +8 in the turnover department.
On the flip side, Missouri’s schedule is pretty favorable. The Tigers should start 4-0, with four home games against Murray State, Buffalo, Boston College and Vanderbilt to start the year. The schedule gets a little trickier starting with back-to-back road trips to Texas A&M and Missouri, then a home date with an Auburn team coming off a bye before a trip to Tuscaloosa.
The Tigers then host Oklahoma after their bye week before a relatively soft landing to SEC play with trips to South Carolina and Mississippi State before wrapping up with Arkansas in Columbia.
While I have legitimate concerns about the Missouri defense, the offense should be among the nation’s best. The schedule is also very manageable, with just three true tests on the menu. Missouri isn’t a team I’m exactly high on, but I’m not fading them either.
Pick: Pass (Lean Taking Missouri to Make SEC Championship Game)
Ole Miss Rebels
Win Total: 9.5 (-110)
Ole Miss hit the transfer portal hard, bringing in a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. The question will be whether Lane Kiffin can put all of the pieces together and deliver a special season in Oxford.
There’s no doubt the Rebels will be a blast to watch weekly. QB Jaxson Dart is now in his third year in Kiffin’s offense. He’ll have three of his best pass-catchers back along with South Carolina’s top receiver last season.
The departure of RB Quinshon Judkins to Ohio State hurts, but Kiffin softened the blow by bringing in a trio of transfers who led their teams in rushing last season. The offensive line also brings back 222 career starts, making it an extremely experienced group.
Kiffin also made major splashes in the portal defensively, bringing in NT Walter Nolen from Texas A&M, Florida LB Princely Umanmielen and LB Chris Paul. The secondary also returns two of their best players and will be bolstered with five transfers.
The schedule should also give Ole Miss some time for these new pieces to gel. The Rebels open with four cakewalks before their first test of the year at home against Kentucky to start SEC play. The Rebels only hit the road three times during SEC play and lucked out by drawing South Carolina, Arkansas and a Florida team that could be running on fumes late in the year.
Ole Miss’ toughest road game is at LSU, while their other two toughest opponents, Oklahoma and Georgia, come to Oxford.
The sky is truly the limit for Ole Miss. They should only need to win one of LSU, Oklahoma and Georgia to clear this win total. There’s a chance this goes wrong and the clashing talents and personalities backfire in Kiffin’s face. But with a soft start to the season, it feels this could be a special year in Oxford.
Pick: Over 9.5 Wins
LSU Tigers
Win Total: 9 (-105)
Doubting a Brian Kelly-coached team is usually a bad proposition, but I’m not sure how high the ceiling is for the Tigers this year.
The losses in Baton Rouge are rather notable, as Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas were all first-round picks. Making up for that production will be Garrett Nussmeier, who threw for 395 yards and three touchdowns in last year’s bowl game against Wisconsin. LSU is also rather unproven at the skill positions and is set to experience an expected dropoff at receiver. A lot will be asked of Liberty transfer CJ Daniels to pick up the slack. LSU does bring back a ton of experience on the offensive line, which will make the transition easier.
LSU brings back just six starters on a pitiful defense from last season but will benefit from the return of three of their top four tacklers, including Harold Perkins, who is expected to return to an EDGE rusher role after a disappointing 2023 in the middle. While LSU’s front seven should be strong, the secondary will need to see significant improvement.
All of this makes LSU a team I won’t be investing in during the preseason. The offense can likely only go down from last year, while the defense can only go up. I don’t love Nussmeier, but it’s hard to envision him flopping under Kelly’s tutelage.
LSU’s non-conference slate is soft outside of a season opener at USC. Their toughest tests in conference play will be home showdowns with Mississippi, Alabama and Oklahoma, as well as a road trip to Texas A&M.
Pick: Pass
Alabama Crimson Tide
Win Total: 9.5 (+116)
When’s the last time we saw Alabama’s win total posted below 10, with plus-money on the over?
That’s what happens when Nick Saban retires. There’s no replacing an icon like Saban. But I think the Crimson Tide will come darn close with Kalen DeBoer, who is among the game’s best coaches.
Per usual, the Crimson Tide lost a ton of talent, including their leading rusher and top two receivers. Also per usual, the Crimson Tide have plenty of talent to overcome those losses, plus an offensive mastermind in DeBoer to run the ship.
DeBoer’s arrival could unlock quarterback Jalen Milroe. We just saw DeBoer’s scheme get Michael Penix Jr. into the Heisman conversation (and drafted eighth overall). I think the sky is the limit for Milroe as well.
DeBoer’s scheme emphasizes pushing the ball downfield, which is one of Milroe’s best skills. Milroe put up 16 touchdowns to just one interception on throws that flew at least 20 yards, compared to four touchdowns and four picks on balls thrown between 10-to-19 yards. DeBoer will let his new quarterback let it fly. If Alabama’s talent on the perimeter emerges, Milroe could win the Heisman.
The offensive line was a concern for Alabama last season and they don’t bring back a ton of experience this year. However, DeBoer did bring All-American center Parker Brailsford from Washington with him, which should solve Alabama’s bizarre issues snapping the ball.
Defensively, DeBoer brought in Kane Wommack from South Alabama to run the unit. He’ll have big shoes to fill. But Wommack runs a similar 3-3-5 scheme to what Saban ran and he’ll have the benefit of a unit that’s loaded with talent at all three levels despite losing six draft picks.
The Tide should run the table in non-conference play, with the lone test being a road trip to Wisconsin. But the SEC slate is pretty tricky, with Georgia, Tennessee, Missouri, LSU, Oklahoma and Auburn all on the slate.
This is a situation where doubt creates value. Alabama had the impossible task of replacing arguably the greatest coach ever, but they did about as good of a job as they could. Otherwise, it’s the same concern for the Crimson Tide as it’s been for all Saban runs: Can they reload and replace the elite talent that’s gone?
For the most part, the answer’s been yes. And while the coaching staff is new and the schedule is hard, a double-digit win season is absolutely on the horizon. And at plus-money, no less.
Picks: Over 9.5 Wins, Jalen Milroe to Win the Heisman Trophy (15/1)
Texas Longhorns
Win Total: 10 (-115)
Can the Longhorns deliver on the hype? I guess they did last year in earning a playoff appearance. But it’s championship or bust in Austin in 2024.
Texas will have 15 starters back, along with QB Quinn Ewers. That’s a strong foundation.
However, the Longhorns will have to replace their top five pass-catchers and their leading running back. The backfield does return their other two leading rushers. And there’s plenty of talent at the receiver group, which was boosted by the portal additions of Isaiah Bond (Alabama) and Silas Bolden (top receiver at Oregon State). The offensive line is also highly talented and experienced.
Defensively, the Longhorns lost some high-end talent but have plenty of depth to replenish. The secondary is also a concern after being exposed against Washington in the College Football Playoff semi-finals.
Texas’ schedule is intriguing. They travel to Ann Arbor for a battle with defending National Champions Michigan in Week 2, then face a loaded and scary UTSA team the week following.
The schedule makers also did Texas no favors in scheduling Georgia the week after the Red River Rivalry. It’s going to be extremely hard for the Longhorns to bring maximum effort in both of those weeks. Frankly, if they can go 1-1 through that stretch, then a College Football Playoff appearance should be a lock. The other biggest threats on the schedule are Kentucky and at Texas A&M to close the year.
Texas isn’t a team I’m investing in preseason. The talent is evident and the Longhorns arguably have the nation’s best quarterback. But there are just enough losses and concerns that keep me off the win total.
Pick: Pass
Georgia Bulldogs
Win Total: 10.5 (-122)
Even with just seven starters back on both sides of the ball, the Bulldogs are loaded with talent. Georgia will open as the preseason No. 1 after falling short of the College Football Playoff last season. And you better believe Kirby Smart will have his team locked in and motivated every week.
The losses of their top two rushers and playmakers Brock Bowers and Ladd McConkey will hurt this offense. But QB Carson Beck will have plenty of firepower after Smart used the portal to add Florida RB Trevor Etienne and TE Ben Yurosek from Stanford. Georgia also will boast arguably the best offensive line in the nation.
Georgia’s defense also wasn’t as picked clean by the NFL as it has been in the past, as nine of their top 13 tacklers return. And there’s plenty of depth behind those key players thanks to Georgia’s elite recruiting.
The schedule isn’t a cakewalk and it all starts with a good test against Clemson in Atlanta. Road trips to Alabama, Texas and Mississippi are also on the docket, making it tough to take the over on this win total.
However, as mentioned earlier, Georgia is loaded with talent. Even if they do go 10-2 in the regular season, they should be in the College Football Playoff field and are my pick to win the National Championship.
Pick: Pass on Win total, Georgia to Win National Championship