Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots Odds & Game Pick
It didn’t take long for the Dallas Cowboys to regain sole possession of first place in the NFC East with a little help from the New England Patriots. However, that win was against a team below .500 and now they’ll face a winning squad. The challenge for Dallas is that almost every time they’ve stepped up in competition, they’ve been beaten back.
Can the Cowboys show well in New England, or will the narrative continue?
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Details
- Opening Line: New England -6.5
- Current Line: New England -6.5
- Over/Under: 45
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
- Start Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Last Meeting: Patriots 30 at Cowboys 6 (10/11/15)
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Overview
The Cowboys have won three of their last four to improve to 6-4. The only issue is that none of those victories came against opponents that currently have a winning record. On top of that, they’ve made several of those games look like a struggle – including last week against the Jeff Driskel-led Detroit Lions.
Dallas will play three more opponents that currently own winning records in New England, the Buffalo Bills on Thanksgiving Thursday, and the Los Angeles Rams. If the Cowboys are a legitimate Super Bowl contender, they will need to prove it against the good teams remaining on their schedule. For his part, Dak Prescott has re-entered the MVP conversation after throwing for 444 yards and three touchdowns in last week’s 35-27 win over the Lions. Meanwhile, running back Ezekiel Elliott recorded his fifth career game with both a rushing and receiving touchdown. It’s no secret that Prescott and Elliott will need to perform at a high level in order to have a shot to win this game. At the same time, the same can be said about wide receivers Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and Randall Cobb against the league’s top-ranked defense.
Meanwhile, the Patriots will be looking to get something going on offense after being held to an average of 18.5 points in their last two games. Tom Brady is 4-0 in his career versus Dallas, but he’s been off of late. With the offensive line struggling to open up running lanes, Brady has struggled when he’s been forced to shoulder the load. He had seven touchdowns and no picks in his first three games of the season, but he has seven touchdowns and five interceptions in the last seven games.
The Patriots’ offense is a work in progress with Mohamed Sanu and rookies N’Keal Harry and Jakobi Meyers now in the fold. Sanu, Julian Edelman, and Phillip Dorsett are all dealing with injuries, so it will be interesting to see who actually makes it on the field this Sunday. We already know that Sanu is out, so that saps a key weapon from the team.
The strength of this New England side is still a defense that has allowed an average of 10.8 points per game this season. That group will need to step up again in order to clinch an important win at home against the Cowboys on Sunday afternoon.
Trends
- Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 November games
- Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. opponents with winning records
- Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 road games vs. opponents with winning records at home
- New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 November games
- Patriots are 42-17-2 ATS in last 61 home games
Bottom Line
Even though they have managed to climb into sole possession of first place in the NFC East, Dallas is still 0-3 against opponents that currently have winning records. Do the Cowboys have enough firepower to beat the Patriots in their own building? Or will New England slam the door shut on them the way the New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers, and Minnesota Vikings all did earlier this season? The Patriots haven’t lost at home since Week 4 of the 2017 season. That trend should continue with New England rebounding for a big win, but don’t be surprised if the Cowboys keep it close and cover.
Prediction: New England 27, Dallas 24
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Check out our other NFL Sports Betting Guides for Week 12
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Detroit Lions at Washington (+3.5)
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Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (-10.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (-3.5)
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Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints (-10)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-3.5)
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Rams (+3.5)
Dave Golokhov is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Dave, check out his archive and follow him @davegolokhov.