Denver Broncos vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds and Game Pick (2020)
Denver and Atlanta were expected to make pushes for the playoffs this year. Instead, at the halfway point of the season, both Drew Lock and Matt Ryan have their team’s management contemplating moving in from them after the season. A week 9 win could do wonders as far as building back some of the waning confidence in these talented signal callers. Let’s dig in.
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DEN
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+4
-110
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o49.5
-115
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+175
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ATL
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-4
-110
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u49.5
-105
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-208
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Overview
The Denver Broncos showed off some of their talent in their Week 8 comeback win against the Los Angeles Chargers. Yes, it came against a team with a habit of blowing leads and two of their star players sidelined, but it helped start what could be an epic rivalry against a fellow up and coming team from the NFC West. The Broncos season was over before it began, as a defense that largely eschewed the cornerback position after losing Chris Harris Jr. to free agency, also lost superstar pass rusher, Von Miller, for the season. Denver is 3-4 on the season, and while they are still trying to win games, they are undoubtedly also in evaluation mode. The Broncos are going to be a fun offense if they are healthy next season, especially if they move on from Melvin Gordon and bring in hot-shot rookie runner.
You cant discuss epic collapses or a penchant for finding a way to lose games a team was in control of without discussing the Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta has had some historic collapses this season, and as such do not inspire much confidence. They have solid talent on both sides of the ball, close to elite talents actually, but they either have really good players, rookies, or replacement level players masquerading as starters. This poor mix has allowed them to blow multiple leads despite being an offense who should have been able to prevent teams from catching up to them. The offense is as much to blame for the Falcons struggles this season as the defense is. Now 2-6 after a Week 8 win against the Panthers, Atlanta will look to make it two in a row. Regardless of what happens to the Falcons record wise this season, they are going to have some major decisions to make regarding their 2021 roster.
Trends
- Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests against teams with losing records
- Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven contests against teams with losing records
- Over is 5-1 in the Broncos last six contests against teams with losing records
- Under is 4-1 in the Falcons last five contests overall
Prop Bet
Jerry Jeudy over 47.5 receiving yards (-111)
This is an easy one. Drew Lock is back and rounding into form, and Jerry Jeudy has averaged 51.3 receiving yards per game. He has crossed 48 receiving yards in five of his seven contests this season and could explode against a suspect Falcons secondary. In fact, Jeudy is likely imploring his offensive coordinator to put him in motion so he can see as many snaps against fellow rookie A.J. Terrell as possible. Jeudy saw a season-high (and career-high) 10 targets in Week 8, and is in line for a monster game this week. He could see gamescript limit his targets if the Broncos build and maintain an early lead, but the smart money is on this turning into a mini shootout. Tap Jeudy for one unit for Week 9.
Bottom Line
Both the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos have been unusually strong against the spread when playing teams with losing records. Atlanta is favored in this contest due to playing at home, and also due to having much better talent, on paper at least. This contest could truly go either way, as it will be up to the Falcons struggling defense to try to stop one of the more explosive offenses. With no definitive lean, the Broncos are the pick due to still having a pass rush that could cause some issues for the Falcons offensive line. Keep it to one unit, but the Broncos are the pick for Week 9.
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Raju Byfield is a featured writer at BettingPros. For more from Raju, check out his archive and follow him @FantasyContext.