Euro 2024 Odds, Picks & Predictions: Sunday (6/23)
The Euros continue on Sunday and we're working with a slim two-match slate. All four teams from Group A are set to take the pitch, including a battle of the unbeatens as Switzerland (1-1-0) takes on Germany (2-0-0). Let's dive into both Euro 2024 matches for Sunday from a betting perspective and lock in a couple of wagers.
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Sunday’s Best Euro 2024 Bets
(Euro 2024 odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Scotland (+155) vs. Hungary (+150), DRAW (+290) | 2.5 (-130/+105)
To simplify the qualifying process for the knockout stage, countries must finish first or second in their group, or the top four third-place nations make it through based on goal differential, goals scored, etc. Here's a full write-up from UEFA's website diving into what every team needs to advance. As for this match, Scotland (0-1-1) will take on Hungary (0-0-2). Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET from Stuttgart Arena in Stuttgart, Germany.
I'm going to play the under in this bottom-of-the-table clash between Scotland and Hungary. To be frank, neither country has any true finishers in their attacks. This is what's led to the duo combining for just three goals (Scotland: 2, Hungary: 1) through the first two matches. In terms of expected goals (xG), Scotland's 0.8 xG is a tournament low. They have a couple of notable midfielders in John McGinn and Scott McTominay, but they're lacking big time up front.
As for Hungary, they had high expectations entering the tournament. They've underachieved massively, getting out-scored 5-1 during their 0-0-2 start. I think they'll manage to corral this lowly Scotland offense, which should lead to the under cashing. Over their last six matches across all competitions (3-0-3), Hungary's seeing 2.5 combined goals per match. They've posted three clean sheets in three friendlies leading up to the tournament. I think the defenses will tighten up here, leading to a lower-scoring match.
Bet: Under 2.5 (+105)
Switzerland (+475) vs. Germany (-155), DRAW (+280) | 2.5 (-130/+105)
Germany, the host nation, is already through to the knockout stage. They'll win the group as long as they win or draw against Switzerland. Meanwhile, the Swiss (1-1-0) are coming off a 1-1 draw with Scotland, and they'll secure a spot with any result. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET from Frankfurt Arena in Frankfurt, Germany.
I'm going to play the over 2.5 goals in this spot. The fact that Switzerland conceded to Scotland makes me confident that Germany will be able to score a couple of goals in this one. Even if Coach Julian Nagelsmann opts to get his depth guys work since they're already through, the hosts have a ton of scorers on the bench. I think they'll hold up their end of the bargain in terms of contributing to the total.
When looking specifically at xG, both nations enter with an expected goals mark of 3.4. Switzerland has scored at least once in each of their last five matches, and I think that trend has a realistic chance to continue on Sunday. They'll likely be pushing the pace as much as possible since they're still on the bubble with making the knockout round. All things considered, I think we'll see Germany prevail in a 2-1 match, which would be enough for us to cash the over.
Bet: Over 2.5 (-130)