Florida State vs. Clemson College Football Week 9 Picks (Saturday)
Florida State and Clemson meet at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday, October 31, in an ACC matchup scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ACC Network. The Seminoles enter as 6-point home favorites, with the total set at 50.5. Clemson looks to earn a road victory in Tallahassee, while Florida State aims to defend its home field. Below, we examine our Florida State vs. Clemson picks and predictions, including the spread, over/under and best bets for this Week 9 college football game.
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College Football Week 9 Bets & Picks: Florida State vs. Clemson
College football betting expert Scott Bogman will provide his top picks and predictions for every week of college football action. Let’s get ready for this weekend’s games with Bogman’s best college football bets for Week 9.
Florida State vs. Clemson
This is a play against the miserable Clemson offense. Clemson ranks dead last in offensive EPA per play and offensive success percentage in the Power 4, and 132nd and 128th, respectively, across the entire FBS. ESPN's offensive efficiency metric ranks Clemson 117th. The Tigers are also 111th in scoring (21.4 PPG), 115th in total offense (333.1 YPG), and have only TWO passing touchdowns, which is dead last in the country.
Clemson has had massive issues at QB, with starter Christopher Vizzinia playing miserably before getting hurt. Tait Reynolds took over and will keep the job heading into this game, even if Vizzinia returns. Florida State doesn't have a strong defense statistically, but the Seminoles are the only non-SEC team with a top-10 strength of schedule (sixth), having faced SMU, Alabama on the road, Louisville on the road, and Miami.
The value favors the Seminoles because their offense looks like it's starting to come around, with QB Ashton Daniels making fewer mistakes and using his legs more. All five of Daniels' turnover-worthy plays have resulted in interceptions. He has eight interceptions on the season, with the other three attributed to his receivers. RB Ousmane Kromah is out for the season with an ankle injury, but Texas transfer Tre Wisner has plenty of experience and should pick up right where Kromah left off.
Clemson's defense has been strong, holding five of seven opponents to 20 or fewer points. However, Clemson has averaged only 12.6 points per game against P4 opponents. As bad as Florida State has been while playing one of the toughest schedules this season, it has averaged 30.6 points per game.
Both teams will likely have new head coaches in 2027, but right now, the Seminoles are playing much better overall. They are at home, and Clemson has a bigger issue in the passing game. Lay the points with the home team in this one.
Pick: Florida State -5.5