Florida vs. Arkansas: College Football Week 10 Odds & Picks (2023)

Gear up for another awesome weekend of college football action with BettingPros! We’ll have you covered with all of our top picks for the week along with our projected spreads and totals to help guide your college football bets. Below are our top picks and predictions for Saturday’s game: Florida vs. Arkansas.

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Top College Football Odds & Picks: Florida vs. Arkansas

Florida at Arkansas OVER 50.5 (-108)

This one might seem strange because the Arkansas offense has been rough but I think they are making the right moves.  The Razorbacks are currently ranked 73rd in scoring but 124th in yards per play which led to the firing of their OC Dan Enos.  With QB coach Kenny Guiton taking over, KJ Jefferson said that the offense will move with a better tempo they have lacked this year.  HC Sam Pittman also said that they have scraped about 30% of the playbook to streamline the offense and I'm optimistic that they will get rid of the clogging deep pass plays and stick to the ground game that has worked for them.

Florida has been run over a few times this season with the worst one coming when Kentucky ran them over for 329 rushing yards.  Georgia ran for 171 and South Carolina also put up 150, the Gators are 3-3 playing to the Over this season and all of the games in which they gave up over 150 rushing yards have gone over.  With the shift of the Arkansas offense moving more towards the run and tempo, I think they are going to put up 150+ on the Gators.

I have reluctantly given Florida QB Graham Mertz credit this season as he has greatly improved and has a 14-2 TD-INT rate so far.  Mertz and the Gators aerial attack should find success against a Razorbacks defense that currently grades out well below average in coverage on PFF. Even if Arkansas slows down the passing attack they are also susceptible to the ground game.  I would call Arkansas firmly 'middle of the road' against the run and Florida has a nice 1-2 combo of RBs in Trevor Etienne and Montrell Johnson.

With Arkansas refocusing the offense on the rushing attack and Florida having multiple routes to scoring I think this one sails past the over.  That would make it four overs in a row for the Gators and as the home team and favorite I think they'll set the pace and tone of the game.

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Best Ways to Bet College Football for Beginners

Game Total

Bettors new to the hobby can be confused by spreads, but game totals are simple. Every football game has a total posted for the combined final score between the two teams. Bettors have the option to choose the OVER or UNDER, generally at -110 odds (risk: $110; win: $100). So if the total is 42 and you take the OVER, you need 43 points to win the bet. If you put a bet down on the over to win $100 and it goes over, you get back the money you initially risked, plus $100. If it stayed under, you would have lost your $110 and that's it. If by chance the game ended with 42 total points, it's called a push; when a game pushes, you get the money you risked back but nothing more.

ie: California vs. Illinois, Over 42 or Under 42

tip: Over bets can be a really fun social event with your buddies. Have everyone throw in a few bucks, then take the over together. Instead of getting pumped when one side scores, everyone is pumped for ANY score, all game.

Moneyline

The moneyline is the easiest way to test your college football knowledge: who will win the game? That's it. The moneyline doesn't use favorites or underdogs, it's totally straight up. That said, the risk-reward can be challenging because they're weighted. Instead of every game being around -110, like game totals and spreads, moneylines vary depending on the matchup.

For our example, California was favored by seven points over Illinois, meaning oddsmakers think the Golden Bears are a touchdown better than the Fighting Illini. If you took Cal on the moneyline, points don't matter, they just need to win the game. But because it's safer to take them straight-up without points, you'll have to risk more when you make the bet - remember, they're seven points better than Illinois in the eyes of the oddsmakers. In this case, Cal is -280 on the moneyline, so if you want to win $100, you have to risk $280. On the flip side, moneyline bets can be valuable when taking the underdog because it's a riskier bet - they're seven points worse than their opponent. In this case, Illinois is the underdog - +220 on the moneyline. You'd win $220 on a $100 bet if you picked Illinois on the moneyline and they pulled off the upset.

ie: California (ML -280) vs. Illinois (ML +220)

tip: Check their history against one another. Keep an eye on the injury report and the weather.

Player Props

Player props are some of the most exhilarating bets you can place during a college football game, but they're also easy to understand. For major conferences, you'll have a wide array of options to choose from. Quarterbacks, running backs, receivers, and sometimes tight ends will have props to choose from. It's simple, fun and easy to follow, and odds on player props don't vary as much as moneylines. Generally, prop bets are in the -110 range like generic spread and total bets.

ie: How many passing yards will Brandon Peters have against California?  Over 250 or Under 250 

tip: Check how players have performed in the situation they're going to be in. Use split stats on any reliable site to see their numbers at home, on a neutral-site, in December, etc.

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