Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Odds & Game Pick (2021)

The battle for the worst team in the league rages on this weekend in Jacksonville as the Texans come into town in what can only be classified as this week’s “Toliet Bowl.” With nothing more than the first overall draft pick on the line, let’s take a closer look at these two AFC South foes and who has the best chance of not losing.

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Details

  • Opening Line: Jaguars -3, O/U 41
  • Current Line: Jaguars -3, O/U 39.5
  • Last meeting: September 12, 2021, Jaguars 21, Texans 37

Overview

With the 32nd last offense in the league, the Texans come into this week ranking dead last in the league in points scored (13.6), rush yards (77.5), and total yards (264.2). Oddsmakers have been able to keep up with just how bad this team is, as they’ve failed to cover four of their last five and have covered just three of their previous 10.

In Jacksonville, the Urban Meyer experiment seems to be going terribly, as the coach has faced one off the field controversy after another as his team continues to churn out an equally embarrassing product. Even Trevor Lawrence, the team’s apparent future, has started to regress. After a decent start, Lawrence has a touchdown to interception ratio of 1:4 over his last three games, all of which he finished with a rating of below 72.

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Trends

  • Texans 5-0 tp the Under 5-0 in L5 away from home
  • Texans 5-0 to the Under in L5 games vs. AFC
  • Underdog 5-2 in L7 meetings between Jags/Texans

Bottom Line

While we already mentioned how bad the Texan’s offensive woes have become, the Jags are only shortly behind. Coming into this week, the Jaguars rank 31st in points scored (13.8) and 30th in total yards (303.1). Despite this total already dipping into the 30s, I still think it’s too high for these two.

Pick: Under 39.5

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