Kansas State vs. Michigan State: Sweet 16 Best Bets (2023 NCAA Tournament)
The Round of 16 is here, and it’s shaping up for a sweet weekend of college basketball. We’ll have you covered with our best bets throughout the Sweet 16 and Elite 8. Let’s take a look at our top bets, picks, and predictions for Kansas State vs. Michigan State.
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Sweet 16 Best Bets: Kansas State vs. Michigan State
Kansas State vs. Michigan State
Game Picks
The Kansas State Wildcats have been playing super loose throughout the Tournament. They've enjoyed themselves and will now enjoy a trip to Madison Square Garden to play in the Sweet 16 game against Michigan State.
This is going to be a close and tight game.
Kansas State is usually weak on the glass. The Wildcats have allowed 29.8% of offensive rebounds and were absolutely dominated on the glass by Kentucky in the Round of 32. Yet, Kansas State found a way to win thanks to their two senior leaders.
Meanwhile, the Spartans aren't incredibly active on the offensive glass. But they'll more than likely have success and earn more second chances in this game.
On the other hand, Kansas State usually turns the ball over 19.9% of the time. However, Michigan State isn't very aggressive at forcing steals. The Wildcats have hit only 33.6% from downtown and 52.7% from inside the arc. They'll be worse from downtown but better from inside the arc.
Don't expect Michigan State to continue to miss wide-open three-point shots as they did against Marquette. But think about it, Michigan State shot so poorly from three over the first two games in the Tournament and still won. Imagine what will happen when the shots fall.
Take Michigan State -2.
The pick: Michigan State -2 (-110)
Same Game Parlay Picks
Leg 1: Joey Hauser Over 14.5 Points (-120)
The Spartans faced Marquette and USC, two teams with strong backcourts, on their way to the Sweet 16. Tyson Walker led all scorers with 23 points in the team's recent upset victory over the Golden Eagles as they prevailed 69-60. As the saying goes, always trust Coach Izzo at this point in the calendar. He's also gotten the best out of Joey Hauser, who performed significantly on the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament. Expect another one here.
Leg 2: Markquis Nowell: Under 17.5 (-105)
In the opening round, the Wildcats easily defeated 14-seed Montana State. They then faced Kentucky, who had Oscar Tshiebwe, the National Player of the Year from the previous season. The game's MVP was Markquis Nowell, who contributed 27 points and nine assists to the team's 75-69 victory. He made several crucial shots in the second half that kept Kansas State in the game.
The Spartans' defense will need to focus on Nowell, and if they can't contain him, Kansas State has a solid chance to win this game. Coach Izzo is one of the greatest to ever do it at taking an opponent's star player out of the contest through game planning.
Leg 3: Michigan State ML (-125)
The whole Big Ten has had a difficult NCAA Tournament thus far. All but one of their eight teams, including top-seeded Purdue, which fell to 16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson, are gone going into the Sweet 16. The only remaining team in the conference is Michigan State (21-12), led by Hall of Fame head coach Izzo, who is making a third straight Sweet 16 appearance.
Across the court is Jerome Tang, a former assistant at Baylor who won a National Championship but is new as a head coach. He has been the most outstanding first-year head coach in college basketball this year after guiding Kansas State (25-9) from the bottom of the Big 12 to one of the last 16 teams still in action.
While Coach Tange has a long career ahead of him, I think he is outmatched in this one, and in a round where coaching matters; Sparty pulls it out.
Parlay Odds: +400
Player Prop Bet Picks
Michigan State
| Prop | Odds | Units | To Win | Book |
| Joey Hauser Under 2.5 3Ps | -130 | 1.3 | 1 | DK |
Kansas State
| Prop | Odds | Units | To Win | Book |
| Markquis Nowell Over 5.5 Assists | -127 | 1.27 | 1 | UB |
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