It’s March, and you know what that means. It’s time for March Madness! We will have you covered throughout the 2023 NCAA Tournament, from our March Madness content coverage to our FREE bracket optimizer to help you create a bracket to take down your pools. Below we dive into our player prop bet projections and picks for each game of the 2023 NCAA Tournament via Matthew Freedman.
Freedman’s NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet History:
- 2019:Â 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021:Â 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022:Â 243-210, +14.9 units
- 2023: 301-235, +50.67 units (Through Final Four)
Here’s what I expect to be my general flow for working and betting over the course of March Madness.
- Monitor our premium spread projections and total projections.
- Track any team-level bets I make in our BettingPros app. I don’t plan to go too heavy into this market since this is my first year with NCAA game projections.
- Do player projections (points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made and free throws made).
- Publish a premium article for every game with all of my player projections and prop bets. Since I don’t follow college basketball, I won’t provide any analysis with my picks, especially given the time crunch of March Madness. Just doesn’t seem worth it.
- Post some of my favorite player props in our FREE BettingPros Discord.
If there’s a bet that you like or injury situation you think I should be aware of when doing projections, please hit me up on Twitter @MattFtheOracle.
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2023 March Madness Player Prop Bet Picks & Projections
First Four Games
- Texas A&M-CC vs. Southeast Missouri State
- Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh
- Texas Southern vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
- Arizona State vs. Nevada
Round 1 Games (Thursday)
- West Virginia vs. Maryland
- Furman vs. Virginia
- Utah State vs. Missouri
- Howard vs. Kansas
- Texas A&M-Corpus Christi vs. Alabama
- Charleston vs. San Diego State
- Princeton vs. Arizona
- Illinois vs. Arkansas
- Auburn vs. Iowa
- Oral Roberts vs. Duke
- Colgate vs. Texas
- Boise State vs. Northwestern
- Northern Kentucky vs. Houston
- Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Tennessee
- Penn State vs. Texas A&M
- UNC Ashville vs. UCLA
Round 1 Games (Friday)
- USC vs. Michigan State
- Xavier vs. Kennesaw State
- UC Santa Barbara vs. Baylor
- Saint Mary’s vs. VCU
- Marquette vs. Vermont
- Iowa State vs. Pittsburgh
- Creighton vs. NC State
- Iona vs. UConn
- Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Purdue
- Providence vs. Kentucky
- Drake vs. Miami
- Grand Canyon vs. Gonzaga
- Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis
- Montana State vs. Kansas State
- Kent State vs. Indiana
- Arizona State vs. TCU
Round 2 Games (Saturday)
- Duke vs. Tennessee
- Princeton vs. Missouri
- Penn State vs. Texas
- Northwestern vs. UCLA
- Furman vs. San Diego State
- Arkansas vs. Kansas
- Auburn vs. Houston
- Maryland vs. Alabama
Round 2 Games (Sunday)
- Pittsburgh vs. Xavier
- Kentucky vs. Kansas State
- Michigan State vs. Marquette
- St. Mary’s vs. UConn
- Creighton vs. Baylor
- Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Florida Atlantic
- Miami vs. Indiana
- TCU vs. Gonzaga
Sweet 16 Games (Thursday)
Sweet 16 Games (Friday)
Friday Sweet 16 Player Prop Bet Picks
Elite 8 Games (Saturday)
Elite 8 Games (Sunday)
Final Four
National Championship
