Michigan State vs. Marquette: 2023 NCAA Tournament Player Prop Bet Picks
March Madness is here, which means itâs time for me to dust off the olâ player projection model, forecast the playing time for hundreds of players Iâve never heard of and place a psychologically unhealthy number of prop bets for the next three weeks.
Iâll be honest: I donât follow college basketball. I like the sport in theory, but in actuality I donât take the time to watch it. That has been the case for years.
- Round 2 Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
- Round 2 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
- Round 2 Same Game Parlay Picks (Sunday)
- NCAA Tournament Survivor Guide For Round 2 (Sunday)
Even so, in 2019 I pulled together a âmodelâ (set of spreadsheets) to project player production for the NCAA menâs basketball tournament, and since then Iâve used this model (and updated versions of it) to bet profitably in the player prop market.
- 2019: 125-69-12, +39.8 units
- 2021: 106-64-1, +33.8 units
- 2022: 243-210, +14.9 units
- 2023: 201-156, +34.22 units (Through Saturday Round 2)
In addition to projecting players this year, Iâm also teaming up with some folks here behind the scenes to create official team forecasts for every NCAA tournament game.
Also, take a look at our other best bets for Sunday:
- NBA Player Prop Bet Rankings Picks & Predictions
- NBA Player Prop Bet Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA First Basket Scorer Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA Same Game Parlay Odds, Picks & Predictions
- NBA PrizePicks Player Prop Bets & Picks
- Round 2 Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
- Round 2 Player Prop Bet Picks & Predictions (Sunday)
- NCAA Tournament Survivor Guide For Round 2 (Sunday)
- Round 2 Same Game Parlay Picks (Sunday)
- NHL Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions
- XFL Week 5 Best Bets
- NASCAR Picks
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2023 March Madness Player Prop Bets: Michigan State vs. Marquette
Michigan State vs. Marquette
Michigan State
Prop | Odds | Units | To Win | Book |
A.J. Hoggard Over 5.5 Assists | 110 | 1 | 1.1 | UB |
Marquette
Prop | Odds | Units | To Win | Book |
Oso Ighodaro Over 1.5 Assists | -112 | 1.12 | 1 | UB |
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Hereâs what I expect to be my general flow for working and betting over the course of March Madness.
- Monitor our premium spread projections and total projections.
- Track any team-level bets I make in our BettingPros app. I donât plan to go too heavy into this market since this is my first year with NCAA game projections.
- Do player projections (points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made and free throws made).
- Publish a premium article for every game with all of my player projections and prop bets. Since I donât follow college basketball, I wonât provide any analysis with my picks, especially given the time crunch of March Madness. Just doesnât seem worth it.
- Post some of my favorite player props in our FREE BettingPros Discord.
If thereâs a bet that you like or injury situation you think I should be aware of when doing projections, please hit me up on Twitter @MattFtheOracle.
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More Round 2 Player Prop Bet Picks
Find all of our player prop bets here >>
Round 2 Same Game Parlay Picks
Round 2 Betting Picks & Predictions
- Indiana vs. Miami
- Michigan State vs. Marquette
- UConn vs. Saint Maryâs
- Gonzaga vs. TCU
- Xavier vs. Pittsburgh
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