Top 3 MLB Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Saturday (9/10)
Last night, we finished 2-1 with our plays and earned more profit. That’s pretty much how most days have gone at this point.
There are so many intriguing races in the MLB. Right now, we’re mainly betting on those teams who are fighting in these races when they have a good matchup. Here are three bets to consider for today’s MLB slate.
(Odds courtesy DraftKings)
View the best player prop bets for tonight’s slate with our MLB Prop Bet Cheat Sheet >>
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
After defeating the Yankees last night on the road, the Rays are a game closer in the AL East. New York’s offense continues to struggle to find any kind of consistency.
Against righties, the Yankees are hitting a .173 ISO and wOBA of .291 in the last 30 days. That’s with Aaron Judge, who is hitting a .466 ISo and wOBA against righties in the same time frame.
They’ll face Corey Kluber, who has walked just 1.6% of batters over the same time frame. He’s also allowed just 20.6% of hard contact and has minimized line drives to under 20%.
Meanwhile, the Rays welcomed back Wander Franco to the lineup, and he delivered. But ultimately, the Rays have just Yandy Diaz and Randy Arozarena performing against righties over the last 30 days. With Jameson Taillon on the mound for the Yankees, the Rays will need as many right-handed batters as possible. Taillon has been much worse against righties.
However, the Rays have just four righties in the lineup against Taillon. He might bend a little bit, but I don’t think he breaks. Let’s take the under here.
Bet: Under 7.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
The game doesn’t have any playoff implications, but it’ll still be a good one.
Marcus Stroman will take the mound for the Cubs tonight. He’s earned 60% of ground balls over the last 30 days and has allowed just 17.5% of line drives. While his strikeout rate is still low, he will take on a Giants lineup that has struck out 23% of the time against righties over the last 30 days.
Plus, the Giants are only getting production out of Joc Pederson against righties. The rest of the lineup has a wOBA of .308 or worse.
On the other hand, Logan Webb will get the call for the Giants. He’s got an xFIP of 3.10 and earned a high rate of ground balls. Like the Giants, the Cubs have just one player performing in the lineup. Ian Happ has a .318 ISO and wOBA of .377, but other than that, no other Cubs are producing consistently.
Ian Happ and Joc Pederson won’t carry their offenses to eight runs.
Bet: Under 7.5 (-105 at DraftKings)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros
The Angels are underdogs with Shohei Ohtani on the mound. I have to bite.
Ohtani has struck out 23.5% of batters over the last 30 days and has recently minimized walks and line drives. He’s also allowed just 21.1% of hard contact when balls are batted into play against him.
The Astros have just three players hitting righties consistently: Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Kyle Tucker. But the rest of the lineup has been underwhelming. Ohtani can shut this Astros lineup down.
On the other hand, Jose Urquidy will take the hill for the Astros. He’s holding a 4.64 xFIP and has given up nearly 21% of line drives when balls are put into play.
The Angels are getting a ton of power out of Mike Trout and should have a solid matchup with Ohtani against Urquidy. Therefore, I’ll take my chances with the Angels tonight.
Bet: Angels (+115 at DraftKings)
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