MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Monday (4/28)
Another week of MLB action is in the books, and the Los Angeles Dodgers tower above all squads with 45 home runs. Of course, the batters on the West Coast are not the only ones showcasing a power stroke early in April.
Here’s a look at four sluggers worth backing to crush a ball beyond the fence in Monday's best MLB home run bets.
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Monday's Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Francisco Lindor (+320) & Pete Alonso (+260)
The Mets enter Monday ranked third in hard-hit percentage (45.1%) and average exit velocity (90.4 miles per hour) as a squad. Having strong players with violent swings leads to those types of statistics. It makes New York a tough matchup for any pitcher, including Washington’s Trevor Williams. Williams sports a lackluster 5.11 ERA over five outings in 2025 and has conceded 21 home runs in 23 career starts at Nationals Park.
Keep in mind, Williams has posted a 5.35 ERA in the first inning during his decade as a pro. The top of the Mets’ lineup has a clear chance to do serious damage. Francisco Lindor is an enticing option considering he’s batting .481 with three homers in the opening frame this season. Pete Alonso possesses some upside, too, as he has recorded the second-highest OPS (1.165) in the league when on the road. Trust New York’s stars to shine.
Austin Riley (+390)
It’s no secret that the high altitude and resulting thin air help balls travel farther at Coors Field. After all, the stadium checks in above every other MLB venue in terms of Statcast’s offensive park factors. Atlanta’s Austin Riley is one of many veteran hitters who thrive in Colorado. The two-time Silver Slugger has logged a .339/.403/.678 slash line with four home runs and 15 RBI in 14 games played at Coors Field.
Rockies right-hander Ryan Feltner will be on the mound on Monday night. Feltner has been tagged for a homer in four of his five starts this year and has surrendered six dingers across three career starts versus the Braves (11.1 innings). Riley was responsible for one of those jacks. He deposited an 83-mile-per-hour sinker 395 feet into the opposite field seats in 2022. Expect Riley to employ a patient approach to tee off on a pitch of his liking.
Brendan Donovan (+600)
Let’s finish this with an underrated threat to go yard. Brendan Donovan’s .392 batting average against right-handed pitching is the best mark in baseball right now. The St. Louis utility man is also a top-20 player in squared-up percentage (34.6%) and launch angle sweet-spot percentage (44.3%). Donovan is utilizing the barrel of his bat at an impressive rate through a month of action at the plate.
It seems like just a matter of time until Donovan’s home run total begins to rise. A clash with Cincinnati presents a great launchpad. Starting pitcher Nick Martinez has allowed seven homers in his previous seven home appearances and has been taken deep by Donovan once before. He is followed by a Reds bullpen that has given up the second-most blasts in the National League (15). Lock in a shot at a healthy payout here.