MLB Home Run Prop Bet Odds & Picks: Thursday (8/8)
A whopping 24 teams are averaging at least one home run per game with the 2024 MLB playoff race in full swing. It's a statistic that has provided sports bettors with opportunities to cash an MLB home run prop bet day after day. Here's a look at four sluggers worth backing to send a ball over the fence on Thursday, August 8.
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Thursday’s Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kyle Schwarber (+320)
Racking up 10 hits, five home runs and 10 RBI across a four-game stretch is no easy feat. That is the hot streak Philadelphia’s Kyle Schwarber is on right now. He put on a power display for the ages on Wednesday night when he smashed a dinger to right field, to left field and to center field in a victory over the Dodgers. Schwarber now ranks fourth in the National League with 27 moon shots and draws a great matchup on Thursday.
The Diamondbacks are handing the baseball to left-hander Jordan Montgomery to open this series. Montgomery has been tagged for 13 earned runs on 19 hits and four walks in his previous two starts at Chase Field (6.2 innings). Combine that with the fact that Schwarber is slashing .340/.458/.571 against southpaws this season and this bet lines up as an attractive option. Another Schwarbomb is on the horizon in Arizona.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+400)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. came within a few feet of a homer on Wednesday but was instead robbed of a hit by Baltimore’s Anthony Santander. That doesn’t take away from the Toronto All-Star’s recent form. Guerrero has slashed .404/.471/.831 with 20 extra-base knocks and only 10 strikeouts during the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Orioles pitching staff has given up the sixth-most earned runs in the league over that same span (123).
Up next for Guerrero is a showdown versus a familiar hurler. He has tallied four home runs and seven RBI in 25 at-bats against Thursday’s listed starter Dean Kremer. Take note that Kremer has also recorded a lackluster 1.49 WHIP and 4.35 ERA in 10 career pitching appearances facing the Blue Jays. Guerrero is currently riding a 19-game hitting streak and there’s no reason to believe his momentum suddenly comes to an end.
Mark Vientos (+340) and Tyrone Taylor (+500)
There’s no way around it. Colorado’s Austin Gomber has failed to limit the long ball in every way this campaign. He is tied for the fifth-most home runs allowed (22) and checks in outside the top 250 pitchers in average exit velocity (89.7 miles per hour). These jacks aren’t cheap shots, either, as the average homer launched versus Gomber goes 407 feet. Of course, this bodes well for the entire Mets lineup ahead of a clash with Gomber at Coors Field.
Let’s shy away from New York’s stars and back underrated options here. Third baseman Mark Vientos has logged a 1.090 OPS through 84 at-bats against left-handed pitching and is smacking line drives at a career-best rate (24.3%). Outfielder Tyrone Taylor has gone yard in his only prior at-bat against Gomber and has posted a reliable .308 batting average during his past 13 contests. They can take advantage of Gomber’s mistakes.
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Thursday: